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Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV FDSNNO, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the San Jose Sharks 5-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mats Zuccarello's goal at 8:01 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.9 to 2.1; shots on goal were MIN 31, SJS 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Vitek Vanecek stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (3 A), 2. Marc-Andre Fleury (24 saves, .923), 3. Macklin Celebrini (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov3 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Fleury24 saves, .923
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    M. Celebrini2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN11321028531
SJSSJS0511318226

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:22

2nd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:36
  2. MIN
    slapxG 0.19win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:01
  3. MIN
    M. Boldy(7)PPG
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-1
    13:26

3rd period

  1. MIN
    slapxG 0.03win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-1
    6:02
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.04win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-2
    16:08
  3. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.87win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    18:25

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:02SJSCarl Grundstrom · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 15:22SJSBarclay Goodrow · Hookingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

2nd

  • 1:17MINBrock Faber · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
  • 12:28SJSLuke Kunin · Slashingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 16:31MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Slashingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min

3rd

  • 8:28MINJared Spurgeon · Holdingdrawn by Macklin Celebrini2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalMIN goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Mats Zuccarello, 2nd 8:01 — MIN 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.20A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.20M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.18M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.15M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.11M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.10M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.10M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.08M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.08B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.06N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.06F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.05M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.05B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.05M. Celebrini · Goal · xG 0.04T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.04C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.03M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.03T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.03T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.02J. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.02T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.01J. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.00J. Rutta · Missed · xG 0.00M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.00C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.00T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 2.1 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsSJS
3.94 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.23 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
0.71 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN65%35%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.96 – 2.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsSJS
31
Shots on goal
26
38%
Faceoffs
63%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
20
9
Blocked shots
17
13
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD011020.05012—21:48
97K. KaprizovL033+230.16010—21:10
5J. MiddletonD000+110.09210—20:55
25J. BrodinD101+110.03020—20:05
24Z. BogosianD101+130.11110—18:50
14J. Eriksson EkC000+110.382023218:26
89F. GaudreauC011+120.150102718:25
46J. SpurgeonD000+160.15002—16:46
47D. ChisholmD011010.02100—16:15
12M. BoldyL202+151.2510010016:13
36M. ZuccarelloR101010.1910010016:08
38R. HartmanR000+120.21110—15:28
90M. JohanssonL000020.16000—14:30
23M. RossiC011000.701104013:12
22M. KhusnutdinovC000000.151002912:07
13Y. TreninC000000.00200011:39
17M. FolignoL011000.0010010011:29
94J. LaukoC000010.11200010:46
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)26242.9232.14+0.1459:48

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).