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Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames

FinalTV FDSNW, CBC·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Los Angeles Kings 2-1. The Kings scored first; the Flames answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Huberdeau's goal at 4:36 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 56% to 79%. Expected goals were close — LAK 2.4, CGY 2.5; shots on goal were LAK 32, CGY 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. David Rittich stopped 16 of 18 (.889); Dustin Wolf stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Coronato (1 G, 1 A), 2. Dustin Wolf (31 saves, .969), 3. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Coronato1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    D. Wolf31 saves, .969
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    J. Huberdeau1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK11705010132
CGYCGY041618218

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:19

2nd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:58

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.20win prob +22 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:36

Penalties

LAK 20 PIM·CGY 18 PIM

1st

  • 0:57CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 3:28LAKQuinton Byfield · Holdingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 17:10LAKKevin Fiala · Slashingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min

2nd

  • 4:37CGYRasmus Andersson · Interferencedrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 9:12LAKPhillip Danault · Roughingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min
  • 9:12CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Roughingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 13:05LAKTanner Jeannot · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg5 min
  • 13:05CGYRyan Lomberg · Fightingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot5 min
  • 17:43CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Trippingdrawn by Quinton Byfield2 min

3rd

  • 3:16LAKBrandt Clarke · Interferencedrawn by Martin Pospisil2 min
  • 8:11CGYRyan Lomberg · Fightingdrawn by Kyle Burroughs5 min
  • 8:11LAKKyle Burroughs · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg5 min
  • 18:12LAKVladislav Gavrikov · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalLAK goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Huberdeau, 3rd 4:36 — CGY 56% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.29R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.23J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.19B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.15N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.14R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.13A. Kuzmenko · Missed · xG 0.11M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.10M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.10B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.09M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.09B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.09M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.07Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.07M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.07M. Coronato · Goal · xG 0.07A. Kuzmenko · Missed · xG 0.06M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.05M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.01M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.00J. Pelletier · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 2.5 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCGY
2.41 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.31 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
1.00 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK47%53%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCGY
32
Shots on goal
18
65%
Faceoffs
35%
0/3
Power play
1/4
20
Penalty minutes
18
10
Hits
20
17
Blocked shots
13
13
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. AndersonD000020.02030—24:20
84V. GavrikovD000010.05002—23:42
9A. KempeR000-150.31100—21:56
22K. FialaL000040.44022—21:31
21J. SpenceD000020.05110—21:07
55Q. ByfieldR000+120.071125020:15
11A. KopitarC000-120.081207519:26
92B. ClarkeD000010.04032—18:38
24P. DanaultC000020.311026418:14
14A. LaferriereR000030.33100—18:08
12T. MooreL000010.18000—14:35
37W. FoegeleL000+110.0800010014:02
15A. TurcotteC000040.330005013:32
43J. MoverareD101010.03030—12:41
5A. EnglundD000000.00000—08:48
61T. LewisC000000.000105008:14
10T. JeannotL000010.04315—07:43
7K. BurroughsD000000.00105—04:29
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31D. Rittich(L)18162.8892.47+0.4759:31

Season series

CGY leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).