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Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames

FinalTV FDSNW, Prime·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikael Backlund's goal at 10:42 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were LAK 29, CGY 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Dustin Wolf stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dustin Wolf (28 saves, .966), 2. Connor Zary, 3. Mikael Backlund (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    D. Wolf28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    CGY
    C. Zary
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Backlund1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK07011111129
CGYCGY01021216328

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +19 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:42
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:18

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.14win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:29
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.76win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:40

Penalties

LAK 11 PIM·CGY 9 PIM

1st

  • 7:56LAKserved by A. Laferriere · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:30LAKQuinton Byfield · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min

2nd

  • 12:05CGYJustin Kirkland · Fightingdrawn by Samuel Helenius5 min
  • 12:05LAKSamuel Helenius · Fightingdrawn by Justin Kirkland5 min

3rd

  • 17:29CGYBrayden Pachal · Roughingdrawn by Alex Laferriere2 min
  • 17:29LAKAlex Laferriere · Roughingdrawn by Brayden Pachal2 min
  • 17:29CGYBrayden Pachal · Roughingdrawn by Alex Laferriere2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalLAK goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Mikael Backlund, 2nd 10:42 — CGY 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Rooney · Goal · xG 0.76K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.37Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.14K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.14C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.14J. Huberdeau · Goal · xG 0.14C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.14C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.12J. Kirkland · On goal · xG 0.11Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.10C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.09R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.08C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.06M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.06C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.04M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.04D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Miromanov · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.02M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.02D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kuzmenko · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01D. Miromanov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.00J. Kirkland · Missed · xG 0.00M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 3.1 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCGY
2.01 G
All situations
2 G3.1
1.81 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK50%50%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 1.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCGY
29
Shots on goal
28
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/1
Power play
0/2
11
Penalty minutes
9
25
Hits
23
18
Blocked shots
36
18
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
92B. ClarkeD000-140.14140—24:18
44M. AndersonD000-130.07010—21:11
6J. EdmundsonD000010.04230—20:53
84V. GavrikovD000-100.00120—20:18
9A. KempeR000-130.303005020:10
21J. SpenceD000000.00130—19:29
11A. KopitarC011020.140104418:40
12T. MooreL101-120.20100—17:31
55Q. ByfieldR011-110.001024016:55
22K. FialaL000-130.18010—16:27
14A. LaferriereR000020.08312—15:37
37W. FoegeleL000-110.22110—15:05
24P. DanaultC000-100.110006014:26
61T. LewisC000030.0600010013:42
47A. LeeL000010.01300—12:31
26A. ThomasC000020.342105010:58
79S. HeleniusC000010.115053310:49
5A. EnglundD000-100.00100—09:01
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)27252.9261.97-0.0357:59

Season series

CGY leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).