Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikael Backlund's goal at 10:42 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were LAK 29, CGY 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Dustin Wolf stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dustin Wolf (28 saves, .966), 2. Connor Zary, 3. Mikael Backlund (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★D. Wolf28 saves, .966

- ★★C. Zary

- ★★★M. Backlund1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals2nd period
0-110:42
0-211:18
3rd period
1-217:29
1-319:40
Penalties
1st
- 7:56
served by A. Laferriere · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 18:30
Quinton Byfield · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min
2nd
- 12:05
Justin Kirkland · Fightingdrawn by Samuel Helenius5 min
- 12:05
Samuel Helenius · Fightingdrawn by Justin Kirkland5 min
3rd
- 17:29
Brayden Pachal · Roughingdrawn by Alex Laferriere2 min
- 17:29
Alex Laferriere · Roughingdrawn by Brayden Pachal2 min
- 17:29
Brayden Pachal · Roughingdrawn by Alex Laferriere2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mikael Backlund, 2nd 10:42 — 53% → 72%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.01 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.1
- 1.81 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.5
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 1.96
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 46%
- Faceoffs
- 54%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/2
- 11
- Penalty minutes
- 9
- 25
- Hits
- 23
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 36
- 18
- Giveaways
- 15
- 4
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
