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Islanders at Utah Hockey Club
NHL

New York Islanders at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸2
Utah Mammoth
1
FinalTV Utah16, MSGSN·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Utah Mammoth 2-1. The Utah Hockey Club scored first; the Islanders answered. The Utah Hockey Club led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Barzal's goal at 18:35 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 48% to 96%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.2 to 2.1; shots on goal were NYI 32, UTA 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Marcus Hogberg stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Connor Ingram stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mathew Barzal (1 G, 1 A), 2. Connor Ingram (30 saves, .938), 3. Brock Nelson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    C. Ingram30 saves, .938
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    B. Nelson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI01405213232
UTAUTA0511007122

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. UTA
    N. Schmaltz(8)
    M. Kesselring (12), L. Cooley (25)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:13

3rd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(12)
    A. Lee (15), M. Barzal (9)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +25 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:36
  2. NYI
    M. Barzal(4)
    A. Lee (16), B. Nelson (13)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +48 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:35

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·UTA 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:27UTAKevin Stenlund · Trippingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 18:39UTABarrett Hayton · Trippingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min

2nd

  • 14:20NYINoah Dobson · Roughingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 18:47UTABarrett Hayton · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min
  • 18:47NYIAdam Pelech · High stickingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min

3rd

  • 5:49UTAMichael Kesselring · High stickingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 13:32NYIAnders Lee · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Connor Ingram2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalNYI goalFinal: UTA 0%

Biggest swing: Mathew Barzal, 3rd 18:35 — NYI 48% → 96%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.18L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.17C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.17M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.17C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.16M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.15N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.15O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.13L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.12M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.11L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.07L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.07M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.06N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.05N. DeSimone · On goal · xG 0.03J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.03M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.03J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.02J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.02K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.01M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.01M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.01N. DeSimone · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA1 G · 2.1 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsUTA
3.22 G
All situations
1 G2.1
2.32 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI68%32%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.09 – 2.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsUTA
32
Shots on goal
22
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
25
Hits
23
24
Blocked shots
22
10
Giveaways
25
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD000050.14012—27:18
3A. PelechD000+210.01742—23:41
6R. PulockD000030.11320—22:25
13M. BarzalC112+220.460103322:10
24S. MayfieldD000000.00020—21:25
29B. NelsonC112+240.642104220:43
14B. HorvatC000-130.282105820:42
27A. LeeL022+270.99102—17:32
21K. PalmieriC000-120.06000017:31
44J. PageauC000010.000104416:25
25D. CholowskiD000000.00020—15:25
7M. TsyplakovR000020.29410—14:53
11A. DuclairL000-100.00010—14:04
53C. CizikasC000020.180306712:21
18P. EngvallL000000.00100—07:59
32K. MacLeanC000000.000203307:46
17M. MartinL000000.00410—06:33
34G. HuttonD000000.00110—05:07
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50M. Hogberg(W)22211.9552.11+1.1160:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).