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Utah Hockey Club at Islanders
NHL

Utah Mammoth at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸5
New York Islanders
4
Final/OTTV Utah16, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the New York Islanders 5-4 in overtime, Dylan Guenther scoring at 2:18. The lead changed hands 4 times. The Utah Hockey Club led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Guenther's goal at 2:18 of overtime, which took the Utah Hockey Club's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Utah Hockey Club, 3.3 to 2.8; shots on goal were UTA 26, NYI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Utah Hockey Club win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.3 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Guenther (2 G), 2. Clayton Keller (2 A), 3. Anthony Duclair (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    D. Guenther2 G
  2. ★★
    UTA
    C. Keller2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    A. Duclair1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
UTAUTA16192813526
NYINYI112063900427

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    A. Duclair(1)PPG
    N. Dobson (1), M. Barzal (1)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:10
  2. UTA
    L. Crouse(2)PPG
    M. Maccelli (1), L. Cooley (3)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:01

2nd period

  1. UTA
    B. Hayton(2)
    M. Sergachev (2), C. Keller (1)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:07

3rd period

  1. NYI
    B. Horvat(1)
    A. Duclair (1), N. Dobson (2)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:03
  2. NYI
    J. Pageau(1)SHG
    S. Holmstrom (1)
    backhandxG 0.33win prob +29 ptsVideo
    2-3
    6:52
  3. UTA
    D. Guenther(3)PPG
    C. Keller (2), M. Sergachev (3)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-3
    7:37
  4. NYI
    M. Tsyplakov(1)
    B. Nelson (1), K. Palmieri (1)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +43 ptsVideo
    3-4
    17:53
  5. UTA
    J. Doan(1)
    A. Kerfoot (1), L. Crouse (1)
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +44 ptsVideo
    4-4
    18:06

Overtime

  1. UTA
    D. Guenther(4)
    S. Durzi (2), L. Cooley (4)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +51 ptsVideo
    5-4
    2:18

Penalties

UTA 12 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:14UTALogan Cooley · High stickingdrawn by Kyle MacLean2 min
  • 11:10UTAserved by M. Carcone · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 15:10UTASean Durzi · Holdingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
  • 18:17NYIAlexander Romanov · Interferencedrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min

2nd

  • 14:41UTAMichael Kesselring · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min

3rd

  • 6:41NYIKyle Palmieri · Trippingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 9:22UTAIan Cole · High sticking double minordrawn by Anders Lee4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalUTA goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Guenther, OT 2:18 — UTA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.33M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.18S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.17K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.17B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.15A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.13B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.12M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.11M. Tsyplakov · Goal · xG 0.11B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.11B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.10A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.10A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.10M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.07K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.07K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.07K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.04B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.03A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.03A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.02B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.00M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.00
NYI4 G · 2.8 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsNYI
3.35 G
All situations
4 G2.8
2.93 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
0.32 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA60%40%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.26 – 2.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsNYI
26
Shots on goal
27
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/2
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
24
20
Blocked shots
20
20
Giveaways
11
11
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
50S. DurziD011+110.13142—25:28
98M. SergachevD022-110.02030—24:59
28I. ColeD000-100.00224—20:20
9C. KellerR022-130.4420010020:06
27B. HaytonC101-120.330105018:39
82K. StenlundC000000.000306518:05
7M. KesselringD000+130.05202—17:58
8N. SchmaltzC000-150.320005017:46
4J. VälimäkiD000+100.00120—17:40
15A. KerfootC011+130.160004315:27
52V. KolyachonokD000-100.00010—14:53
67L. CrouseL112+110.16020—13:06
11D. GuentherR202-130.6701010012:58
53M. CarconeL000010.24000—12:41
92L. CooleyC022010.301022512:14
63M. MaccelliL011010.15000—12:00
91J. DoanR101+110.312005010:58
22J. McBainC000-100.002105010:40
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(W)27234.8522.75-1.2562:18

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).