New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes
Recap
written from the game dataThe Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 5-2. The Devils scored first; the Hurricanes answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jackson Blake's goal at 10:43 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 57% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were NJD 23, CAR 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 36 of 40 (.900), 1.2 goals below expected; Dustin Tokarski stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Dmitry Orlov (1 G), 2. Jack Roslovic (2 G, 1 A), 3. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★D. Orlov1 G

- ★★J. Roslovic2 G, 1 A

- ★★★S. Aho1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals2nd period
1-02:56
1-119:30
3rd period
2-11:05
2-21:56
2-310:43
2-412:06
2-516:38
Penalties
1st
- 17:51
Timo Meier · Trippingdrawn by William Carrier2 min
2nd
- 7:48
Jack Hughes · Hookingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
- 11:59
Eric Robinson · Illegal check to headdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
- 15:00
Jaccob Slavin · Interferencedrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min
3rd
- 6:28
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · Roughingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
- 6:28
Timo Meier · Kneeingdrawn by Martin Necas5 min
- 6:28
Timo Meier · Game misconduct10 min
- 12:24
Erik Haula · Roughingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
- 12:24
Dmitry Orlov · Roughingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jackson Blake, 3rd 10:43 — 57% → 84%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.12 G
- All situations
- 4 G4.6
- 1.52 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.0
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.6
- 0.40 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.00 – 2.80
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 23
- Shots on goal
- 41
- 39%
- Faceoffs
- 61%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/4
- 21
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 41
- Hits
- 41
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 14
- Giveaways
- 12
- 4
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
