New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes
Recap
written from the game dataThe Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 4-2. The Devils scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shayne Gostisbehere's goal at 19:23 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were NJD 26, CAR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Jackson Blake (1 G), 2. Shayne Gostisbehere (1 G), 3. Seth Jarvis (1 G).
Three stars
- ★J. Blake1 G

- ★★S. Gostisbehere1 G

- ★★★S. Jarvis1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals2nd period
1-01:16
1-110:55
1-219:23
3rd period
1-310:16
2-315:16
2-418:24
Penalties
2nd
- 7:17
Nathan Bastian · Interferencedrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
- 11:55
Andrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
3rd
- 13:42
Jackson Blake · Trippingdrawn by Seamus Casey2 min
- 14:27
Jordan Martinook · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Shayne Gostisbehere, 2nd 19:23 — 53% → 75%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.52 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.8
- 2.11 G
- Even strength
- 3 G3.0
- 0.31 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.37 – 3.02
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 26
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 44%
- Faceoffs
- 56%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 26
- Hits
- 20
- 25
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 22
- Giveaways
- 23
- 5
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
