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Wild at Stars
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸3
Dallas Stars
2
Final/OTTV FDSNNO, Victory+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Dallas Stars 3-2 in overtime, Brock Faber scoring at 0:35. The Wild came back from two goals down. The Stars led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Faber's goal at 0:35 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.5 to 1.5; shots on goal were MIN 18, DAL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Jake Oettinger stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brock Faber (1 G), 2. Filip Gustavsson (27 saves, .931), 3. Wyatt Johnston (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    B. Faber1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson27 saves, .931
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    W. Johnston1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MINMIN04052811318
DALDAL114180700229

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    E. Dadonov(9)
    W. Johnston (15), J. Benn (15)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:52

2nd period

  1. DAL
    W. Johnston(7)
    E. Dadonov (5), I. Lyubushkin (8)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:08

3rd period

  1. MIN
    J. Brodin(3)
    M. Zuccarello (13)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:36
  2. MIN
    M. Foligno(6)
    J. Spurgeon (9), D. Chisholm (7)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +32 ptsVideo
    2-2
    11:33

Overtime

  1. MIN
    B. Faber(5)
    M. Boldy (18), M. Rossi (17)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.18win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    0:35

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·DAL 2 PIM

1st

  • 17:02MINBrock Faber · Trippingdrawn by Oskar Bäck2 min

2nd

  • 4:26DALRoope Hintz · Holdingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min
  • 11:20MINZach Bogosian · Interferencedrawn by Wyatt Johnston2 min

3rd

  • 4:39MINMatt Boldy · Interferencedrawn by Roope Hintz2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalMIN goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Brock Faber, OT 0:35 — MIN 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.19M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.17R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.13E. Dadonov · Goal · xG 0.13M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.12L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.09W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.09T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.08J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.08W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.08R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.07J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.07J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.07W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.07R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.06M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.06L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.06L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.06T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.05O. Bäck · Missed · xG 0.05J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.05I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.05M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.05M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.04M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.04M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.04O. Bäck · Missed · xG 0.04R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.03J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.03T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.03E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.02N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.01N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.01T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.01N. Lundkvist · On goal · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.01O. Bäck · On goal · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 2.5 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsDAL
1.53 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.53 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN32%68%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.51 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsDAL
18
Shots on goal
29
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
28
Hits
18
19
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD101+110.18012—25:28
25J. BrodinD101020.21130—24:11
46J. SpurgeonD011020.02230—21:52
12M. BoldyL011+210.24022—19:47
47D. ChisholmD011020.05000—19:14
23M. RossiC011+200.081004718:38
36M. ZuccarelloR011+110.16000—18:23
89F. GaudreauC000-210.050105917:10
24Z. BogosianD000010.03132—16:21
13Y. TreninC000+100.24410015:03
38R. HartmanR000-230.0740010014:41
17M. FolignoL101+120.11510—14:12
90M. JohanssonL000-200.00000—13:46
22M. KhusnutdinovC000+100.001105013:43
4J. MerrillD000000.00210—12:46
19D. ShoreC000010.01120011:16
21B. GaunceC000010.081004010:08
39B. JonesC000000.0050010009:06
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)29272.9312.46+0.4660:35

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).