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Kraken at Avalanche
NHL

Seattle Kraken at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Seattle Kraken
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
FinalTV NHLN, KHN/Prime·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Seattle Kraken 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Avalanche led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Kiviranta's goal at 12:01 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.3 to 1.5; shots on goal were SEA 19, COL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.9 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 17 of 19 (.895). Three stars: 1. Joel Kiviranta (3 G), 2. Mikko Rantanen (2 A), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    J. Kiviranta3 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA131709219
COLCOL19210210529

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    C. Makar(11)PPG
    M. Rantanen (32), N. MacKinnon (42)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:05
  2. SEA
    J. McCann(12)
    S. Wright (9), Y. Gourde (10)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:55

2nd period

  1. SEA
    K. Kakko(5)
    M. Beniers (14)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:01
  2. COL
    V. Nichushkin(11)
    N. MacKinnon (43)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:12
  3. COL
    J. Kiviranta(8)
    M. Rantanen (33), C. Makar (33)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:01

3rd period

  1. COL
    J. Kiviranta(9)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.63win prob +6 ptsVideo
    2-4
    17:26
  2. COL
    J. Kiviranta(10)EN
    P. Kelly (6), C. Makar (34)
    wristxG 0.57Video
    2-5
    18:28

Penalties

SEA 8 PIM·COL 2 PIM

1st

  • 6:48SEAEeli Tolvanen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:29SEABrandon Montour · Trippingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
  • 11:25SEAVince Dunn · Holdingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min

2nd

  • 18:46SEAEeli Tolvanen · Hookingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min

3rd

  • 8:53COLSamuel Girard · Trippingdrawn by Shane Wright2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSEA goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Joel Kiviranta, 2nd 12:01 — COL 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Kiviranta · Goal · xG 0.63J. Kiviranta · Goal · xG 0.57V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.24A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.24N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.16A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.15D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.15C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.13J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.11J. Kiviranta · Goal · xG 0.08V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.08C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.07R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.07P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.06L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.04P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02K. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.02K. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.01K. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.01M. Blackwood · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · Missed · xG 0.01S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.00C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.00N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.00C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.00J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.00S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00
COL5 G · 3.3 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsCOL
1.52 G
All situations
3 G3.3
1.52 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA38%62%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.51 – 2.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsCOL
19
Shots on goal
29
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
31
Hits
14
18
Blocked shots
15
12
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000-210.11112—22:15
41R. EvansD000-100.05410—21:51
6A. LarssonD000010.01120—20:20
24J. OleksiakD000010.07140—19:10
9C. StephensonC000-100.000103818:55
29V. DunnD000-100.00212—18:01
37Y. GourdeC011-100.00420017:35
28J. MahuraD000010.04200—16:54
22O. BjorkstrandR000-120.26000—16:39
51S. WrightC011-110.112107016:17
10M. BeniersC011020.110006215:51
17J. SchwartzL000020.13100—15:31
19J. McCannL101-220.31100—15:23
84K. KakkoR101+130.13500—14:41
20E. TolvanenR000020.13434—14:00
12T. KartyeL000-110.06310—11:48
95A. BurakovskyL000-100.00000—09:39
59B. MeyersC000-100.000105008:52
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Daccord(L)27243.8892.13-0.8759:42

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).