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Kraken at Avalanche
NHL

Seattle Kraken at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Seattle Kraken
3
Colorado Avalanche
▸6
FinalTV KHN/Prime, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Seattle Kraken 6-3. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mikko Rantanen's goal at 9:11 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 72% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were SEA 20, COL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 1.5 goals below expected; Justus Annunen stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (5 A), 2. Mikko Rantanen (2 G), 3. Cale Makar (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon5 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Rantanen2 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Makar2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA161816320
COLCOL21328211632

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    C. Wagner(1)
    N. MacKinnon (15), S. Girard (6)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:28
  2. SEA
    J. Schwartz(3)
    M. Beniers (6), R. Evans (5)
    deflectedxG 0.19win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:58
  3. COL
    I. Ivan(3)
    N. Kovalenko (4), N. MacKinnon (16)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:12

2nd period

  1. SEA
    J. McCann(6)PPG
    C. Stephenson (8)
    snapxG 0.29win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-2
    0:23
  2. COL
    A. Lehkonen(1)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (17), C. Makar (17)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-3
    6:44
  3. COL
    M. Rantanen(5)PPG
    C. Makar (18), N. MacKinnon (18)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-4
    9:11

3rd period

  1. SEA
    M. Beniers(3)
    B. Montour (6), J. McCann (10)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-4
    17:31
  2. COL
    M. Rantanen(6)EN
    A. Lehkonen (1), N. MacKinnon (19)
    wristxG 0.47win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-5
    17:55
  3. COL
    N. Kovalenko(2)PPG
    C. Mittelstadt (9), J. Manson (4)
    tip-inxG 0.18Video
    3-6
    19:58

Penalties

SEA 20 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:53COLJoel Kiviranta · Trippingdrawn by Cale Fleury2 min
  • 18:11SEAJohn Hayden · Slashingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
  • 19:23COLCasey Mittelstadt · Hookingdrawn by Jamie Oleksiak2 min

2nd

  • 2:04COLSamuel Girard · Trippingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
  • 5:46SEAShane Wright · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 7:44SEAChandler Stephenson · Slashingdrawn by Calvin de Haan2 min
  • 9:11SEAserved by R. Winterton · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 17:55SEAYanni Gourde · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:07SEABrandon Montour · Chargingdrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalSEA goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Mikko Rantanen, 2nd 9:11 — COL 72% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.47A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.25A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.22N. Kovalenko · Goal · xG 0.18N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.17C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.17A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.13A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.11L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.10A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.10D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.10C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.10C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.09I. Ivan · Goal · xG 0.09A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.08C. Wagner · Goal · xG 0.07C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.07P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.07S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06T. Tynan · On goal · xG 0.06S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.06C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.04L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.04C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.00
COL6 G · 4.0 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsCOL
1.93 G
All situations
5 G4.0
1.42 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.51 G
Power play
3 G2.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA24%76%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 3.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsCOL
20
Shots on goal
32
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/3
Power play
3/5
20
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
20
21
Blocked shots
22
17
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD011+120.15012—24:17
6A. LarssonD000010.00220—22:44
9C. StephensonC011+110.090024821:02
19J. McCannL112+120.30130—19:57
24J. OleksiakD000-200.01040—18:45
3W. BorgenD000-110.02100—18:38
17J. SchwartzL101+230.28100—18:20
41R. EvansD011020.38210—18:20
7J. EberleR000+130.33000—17:44
10M. BeniersC112+220.160106717:13
13B. TanevL000000.03130—14:53
37Y. GourdeC000-100.1022105714:50
95A. BurakovskyL000020.03000—14:44
20E. TolvanenR000-300.00200—12:22
8C. FleuryD000000.00310—11:11
51S. WrightC000-300.000125010:19
26R. WintertonC000-310.02310009:28
15J. HaydenC000000.0041210008:54
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)31265.8393.52-1.4858:03

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).