Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the Chicago Blackhawks 6-4. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Zary's goal at 10:37 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.7 to 3.4; shots on goal were CHI 28, CGY 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.6 goals below expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Zary (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G, 1 A), 3. Connor Bedard (1 G, 2 A).
Three stars
- ★C. Zary1 G, 1 A

- ★★J. Huberdeau1 G, 1 A

- ★★★C. Bedard1 G, 2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
10 goals1st period
0-112:19
0-213:26
2nd period
1-210:09
1-310:37
1-412:40
1-517:51
3rd period
2-50:57
3-511:30
4-518:52
4-619:37
Penalties
1st
- 11:13
Mikael Backlund · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
- 14:13
Connor Murphy · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau0 min
- 18:48
TJ Brodie · Slashingdrawn by Matt Coronato2 min
2nd
- 2:15
Frank Nazar · High stickingdrawn by Jake Bean2 min
- 12:03
Ryan Donato · Roughingdrawn by Martin Pospisil2 min
- 12:03
Martin Pospisil · Roughingdrawn by Frank Nazar2 min
- 12:03
Ryan Donato · Roughingdrawn by Martin Pospisil2 min
- 12:03
Brayden Pachal · Misconduct10 min
- 12:03
Ryan Donato · Misconduct10 min
3rd
- 8:02
Connor Bedard · Hookingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
- 11:21
Mikael Backlund · Hookingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
- 11:21
Kevin Bahl · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
- 14:17
Nick Foligno · Slashingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
- 18:30
Martin Pospisil · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
- 18:30
Tyler Bertuzzi · Roughingdrawn by Martin Pospisil2 min
- 18:30
Tyler Bertuzzi · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
- 18:30
Martin Pospisil · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
- 18:30
Tyler Bertuzzi · Misconduct10 min
- 18:30
Martin Pospisil · Misconduct10 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Connor Zary, 2nd 10:37 — 72% → 87%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.44 G
- All situations
- 5 G3.7
- 1.93 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.5
- 1.41 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.7
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.18 – 2.37
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 55%
- Faceoffs
- 45%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/5
- 36
- Penalty minutes
- 32
- 12
- Hits
- 27
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 16
- Giveaways
- 16
- 4
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
