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Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames

FinalTV CHSN, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrei Kuzmenko's goal at 13:32 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 55% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.9 to 2.2; shots on goal were CHI 32, CGY 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Dustin Wolf stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dustin Wolf (31 saves, .969), 2. Matt Coronato (2 G), 3. Petr Mrazek (24 saves, .923).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    D. Wolf31 saves, .969
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Coronato2 G
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    P. Mrazek24 saves, .923

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI110012010132
CGYCGY1911216327

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    16:01
  2. CHI
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:11

2nd period

  1. CGY
    tip-inxG 0.20win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:32

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.72win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:21

Penalties

CHI 6 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:01CGYRasmus Andersson · Hookingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min

2nd

  • 5:40CHIPhilipp Kurashev · Hookingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 11:56CHIConnor Bedard · Slashingdrawn by Dustin Wolf2 min
  • 13:32CHINick Foligno · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min

3rd

  • 5:42CGYBrayden Pachal · High stickingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalCHI goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Andrei Kuzmenko, 2nd 13:32 — CGY 55% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Coronato · Goal · xG 0.72R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.23A. Kuzmenko · Goal · xG 0.20M. Coronato · Goal · xG 0.17N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.16A. Kuzmenko · Missed · xG 0.14M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.12J. Kirkland · On goal · xG 0.11A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.08A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.08M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kirkland · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.06M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.06C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.05M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.05D. Miromanov · Missed · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 2.9 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsCGY
2.21 G
All situations
2 G2.9
1.61 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI51%49%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 2.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsCGY
32
Shots on goal
27
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
14
Hits
29
18
Blocked shots
21
12
Giveaways
19
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD011040.08020—25:25
72A. VlasicD000-110.04040—20:25
86T. TeravainenC000020.11000020:24
98C. BedardC000070.380023320:14
25A. MartinezD011+110.02120—18:59
17N. FolignoL101030.472126018:46
44W. KaiserD000010.01210—18:11
23P. KurashevC000-100.200125018:06
59T. BertuzziL000020.09100—17:37
5C. MurphyD000-110.01230—17:17
71T. HallL000-130.201005016:57
78T. BrodieD000000.00130—15:29
16J. DickinsonC000000.002005613:24
95I. MikheyevR000010.05000—13:16
22J. AndersonR000010.1100010012:03
77P. MaroonL000-100.06000—11:06
15C. SmithC000-120.031105009:14
89A. AthanasiouC000-130.311005009:12
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)26242.9232.14+0.1458:19

Season series

CGY leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).