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New Jersey Devils at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the St. Louis Blues 4-1. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ondrej Palat's goal at 15:13 of the first period, which took the Devils' chances from 46% to 61%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were NJD 28, STL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ondrej Palat (1 G), 2. Brenden Dillon (1 G), 3. Jack Hughes (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    O. Palat1 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    B. Dillon1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Hughes2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD1717214428
STLSTL050619120

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    slapxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    15:13

2nd period

  1. NJD
    S. Noesen(14)PPG
    wristxG 0.41win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:09

3rd period

  1. NJD
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-0
    3:38
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +4 ptsVideo
    3-1
    10:28
  3. NJD
    J. Bratt(14)EN
    wristxG 0.92win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-1
    16:44

Penalties

NJD 10 PIM·STL 14 PIM

2nd

  • 7:06NJDTomas Tatar · Trippingdrawn by Nathan Walker2 min
  • 12:41STLNathan Walker · Trippingdrawn by Nathan Bastian2 min
  • 13:09STLCam Fowler · Cross checkingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

3rd

  • 11:04STLRobert Thomas · Cross checkingdrawn by Johnathan Kovacevic2 min
  • 11:04NJDJohnathan Kovacevic · Cross checkingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 11:04NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Roughingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 11:04STLPavel Buchnevich · Roughingdrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min
  • 18:45STLJake Neighbours · Roughingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min
  • 18:45STLBrayden Schenn · Roughingdrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min
  • 18:45NJDStefan Noesen · Roughingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min
  • 18:45NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Roughingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 18:45STLBrayden Schenn · Roughingdrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalNJD goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Ondrej Palat, 1st 15:13 — NJD 46% → 61%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.20J. Neighbours · Missed · xG 0.19D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.17J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.13J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.13P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.11P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.10M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.09J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.08R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.07P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.07B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.07C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.05O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.05P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.04D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.04C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.03R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.03B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.00P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.00
STL1 G · 2.2 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsSTL
3.33 G
All situations
1 G2.2
1.62 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD51%49%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.23 – 2.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsSTL
28
Shots on goal
20
62%
Faceoffs
38%
1/3
Power play
0/1
10
Penalty minutes
14
26
Hits
32
8
Blocked shots
12
12
Giveaways
19
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43L. HughesD011000.00000—21:01
22B. PesceD011010.05000—20:59
8J. KovacevicD000+100.02102—20:17
5B. DillonD101+110.03700—19:25
13N. HischierC011020.212106719:16
71J. SiegenthalerD000+120.07214—19:07
91D. MercerC000010.09010018:04
86J. HughesC022+220.330005017:48
28T. MeierR000020.15020—17:15
7D. HamiltonD000+150.15120—17:05
63J. BrattL101+210.94100—15:19
47P. CotterL000010.1641010014:33
18O. PalatL101+220.28200—14:32
56E. HaulaL000040.161006013:53
14N. BastianR000000.00300—13:14
11S. NoesenR101020.56102—13:04
90T. TatarL000010.05002—11:59
42C. LazarC000010.031006711:41
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)20191.9502.16+1.1659:28

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).