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St. Louis Blues at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV FDSNMW, MSGSN2·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the New Jersey Devils 3-0. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Holloway's goal at 6:23 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.3 to 1.8; shots on goal were STL 20, NJD 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 3.3 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Holloway (2 G), 2. Jordan Binnington (32 saves, 1.000), 3. Robert Thomas (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    D. Holloway2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington32 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL3100109320
NJDNJD07012013032

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    slapxG 0.15win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:09
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    6:23
  3. STL
    snapxG 0.20win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    16:05

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·NJD 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:20NJDserved by T. Tatar · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:20STLRobert Thomas · Slashingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 20:00STLJake Neighbours · Slashingdrawn by Jonas Siegenthaler2 min

3rd

  • 1:09STLJordan Kyrou · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min
  • 7:03NJDPaul Cotter · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Kessel2 min
  • 7:03STLMatthew Kessel · Roughingdrawn by Paul Cotter2 min
  • 7:03NJDPaul Cotter · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Kessel2 min
  • 10:40NJDDougie Hamilton · Holdingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalSTL goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Holloway, 1st 6:23 — STL 59% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.34E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.22D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.18N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.16O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.15S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.12S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.11N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.11N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.10J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.10J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.10J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.09N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.09N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.08D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.08L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.08J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.07L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06N. Foote · Missed · xG 0.06S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.06P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.06D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.06D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04N. Foote · Missed · xG 0.04J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.03D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.03E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.03D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.03S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.02N. Foote · Missed · xG 0.02S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.02T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.02E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.01J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.01N. Foote · Missed · xG 0.01J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.00J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.00P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD0 G · 3.3 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsNJD
1.83 G
All situations
0 G3.3
0.93 G
Even strength
0 G2.3
0.80 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL24%76%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 3.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsNJD
20
Shots on goal
32
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
13
Hits
21
24
Blocked shots
10
11
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22R. SuterD000+110.04060—24:39
55C. ParaykoD000+110.04030—23:38
72J. FaulkD011+100.00110—23:24
18R. ThomasC101+230.210326221:30
48S. PerunovichD000+200.00100—17:56
81D. HollowayL202+250.53110—17:48
10B. SchennC000+110.092206017:16
63J. NeighboursL011+220.15312—16:54
77P. JosephD000010.04000—16:53
25J. KyrouR000010.45002—15:55
20B. SaadL011+110.05010—15:28
12R. FaksaC000020.110207013:37
70O. SundqvistC000010.001204013:27
13A. ToropchenkoR000000.00000—13:19
76Z. BolducR000+100.00110—13:03
26N. WalkerL000010.07210—10:22
51M. KesselD000000.00102—09:57
89P. BuchnevichL011+100.00000—08:54
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)323201.0003.32+3.3260:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).