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Rangers at Blues
NHL

New York Rangers at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
2
St. Louis Blues
▸3
FinalTV FDSNMW, MSG·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the New York Rangers 3-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Kyrou's goal at 6:33 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 1.9 to 1.2; shots on goal were NYR 28, STL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.1 goals below expected; Joel Hofer stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Robert Thomas (1 G, 1 A), 2. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G), 3. Jordan Kyrou (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    P. Buchnevich1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Kyrou1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR0801129228
STLSTL1727010324

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    P. Buchnevich(8)
    J. Neighbours (7), R. Thomas (17)
    slapxG 0.19win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    18:51

2nd period

  1. STL
    J. Kyrou(13)
    A. Toropchenko (4), B. Schenn (11)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:33
  2. STL
    R. Thomas(6)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    10:28

3rd period

  1. NYR
    B. Berard(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-3
    10:18
  2. NYR
    W. Cuylle(11)
    A. Lafrenière (12), F. Chytil (6)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-3
    11:37

Penalties

NYR 2 PIM·STL 0 PIM

1st

  • 8:35NYRJonny Brodzinski · Trippingdrawn by Alexandre Texier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalNYR goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Kyrou, 2nd 6:33 — STL 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.19P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.15J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.14B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.11R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.11P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.10P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.09A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.09R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.08A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.07N. Walker · Missed · xG 0.07R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.06N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.06A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.06B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.05B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.04D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.01S. Perunovich · Missed · xG 0.01N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01S. Perunovich · On goal · xG 0.01A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.00A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 1.9 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsSTL
1.22 G
All situations
3 G1.9
1.02 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR36%64%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.23 – 1.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsSTL
28
Shots on goal
24
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/0
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
0
41
Hits
20
8
Blocked shots
19
15
Giveaways
15
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD000010.14010—24:54
55R. LindgrenD000010.01220—21:58
6Z. JonesD000-120.12000—21:28
13A. LafrenièreL011020.03200—19:13
4B. SchneiderD000-100.00310—19:12
16V. TrocheckC000030.173005719:07
72F. ChytilC011000.024006419:06
91R. SmithR000010.04420—16:20
14C. MackeyD000000.02210—16:17
20C. KreiderL000-230.06500—15:17
50W. CuylleL101+120.14200—15:08
22J. BrodzinskiC000-140.23002014:39
39S. CarrickC000-110.012006913:52
5C. RuhwedelD000000.03200—13:40
65B. BerardL101+150.11400—13:08
93M. ZibanejadC000020.041103613:04
84A. EdstromC000-110.08300012:48
26J. VeseyL000000.00200—11:22
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(L)24213.8751.85-1.1557:27

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).