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St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers

FinalTV FDSNMW, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the New York Rangers 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Schenn's goal at 1:12 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 48% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 5.9 to 3.0; shots on goal were STL 44, NYR 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 39 of 43 (.907), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Zachary Bolduc (2 G), 2. Will Cuylle (2 G), 3. Brayden Schenn (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    Z. Bolduc2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    W. Cuylle2 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL115117312544
NYRNYR1141807229

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:47
  2. STL
    snapxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:45

2nd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.54win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:30
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.27win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:20

3rd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.11win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:12
  2. STL
    snapxG 0.32win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-2
    8:25
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.91win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    17:15

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·NYR 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:29STLOskar Sundqvist · Trippingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min
  • 6:18STLZachary Bolduc · Trippingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 14:01NYRAdam Edstrom · Boardingdrawn by Justin Faulk2 min

2nd

  • 7:50STLZachary Bolduc · Cross checkingdrawn by Sam Carrick2 min
  • 10:18NYRSam Carrick · Trippingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 20:00STLJake Neighbours · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Will Cuylle2 min
  • 20:00NYRWill Cuylle · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min

3rd

  • 3:44NYRMatt Rempe · Roughingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalSTL goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Brayden Schenn, 3rd 1:12 — STL 48% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.40W. Cuylle · Goal · xG 0.27A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.26K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.17M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.16R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.16K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.14W. Cuylle · Goal · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.08R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Jones · Missed · xG 0.06A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.06A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.05A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.05B. Berard · On goal · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.04A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Jones · Missed · xG 0.04W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.03K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02B. Berard · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.02R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.00S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.00J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR2 G · 3.0 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsNYR
5.94 G
All situations
2 G3.0
3.94 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
1.10 G
Power play
0 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL78%22%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.87 – 2.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsNYR
44
Shots on goal
29
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
23
17
Blocked shots
14
18
Giveaways
19
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD011+320.07130—26:21
22R. SuterD011+310.06110—24:21
72J. FaulkD000+140.17020—21:51
18R. ThomasC000+140.271004619:12
89P. BuchnevichL101+141.40400—16:51
81D. HollowayL022+230.36100—16:02
76Z. BolducR202+271.34014—15:49
48S. PerunovichD011000.00110—15:24
10B. SchennC112010.117004015:17
77P. JosephD000040.21010—15:06
25J. KyrouR101030.51000—14:45
63J. NeighboursL000030.70102—14:25
12R. FaksaC011+110.171206014:18
20B. SaadL000-110.05010—13:52
26N. WalkerL000010.23200—12:52
13A. ToropchenkoR000010.04330—12:50
51M. KesselD000-110.02010—11:32
70O. SundqvistC011+230.211123311:12
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer(W)29272.9312.95+0.9560:00

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).