New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Chicago Blackhawks beat the New York Islanders 5-3. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Bedard's goal at 19:06 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 52% to 98%. Expected goals were close — NYI 2.8, CHI 2.8; shots on goal were NYI 33, CHI 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.7 goals below expected; Arvid Soderblom stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Teuvo Teravainen (1 G, 2 A), 2. Connor Bedard (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alex Vlasic (2 A).
Three stars
- ★T. Teravainen1 G, 2 A

- ★★C. Bedard1 G, 1 A

- ★★★A. Vlasic2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
0-19:08
1-118:43
1-219:40
2nd period
2-22:25
2-315:19
3rd period
3-30:47
3-419:06
3-519:49
Penalties
2nd
- 13:02
Taylor Hall · Slashingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
- 13:53
Maxim Tsyplakov · Trippingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min
- 15:07
Alexander Romanov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 18:03
Nolan Allan · Trippingdrawn by Maxim Tsyplakov2 min
3rd
- 0:47
served by R. Donato · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- 16:40
Ryan Donato · Trippingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Connor Bedard, 3rd 19:06 — 52% → 98%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.83 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.8
- 2.23 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.1
- 0.60 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.77 – 2.26
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 23
- 56%
- Faceoffs
- 44%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 27
- Hits
- 22
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 7
- Giveaways
- 13
- 2
- Takeaways
- 2
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
4@
5Final
3@
5this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
