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Blackhawks at Islanders
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
4
New York Islanders
▸5
FinalTV CHSN, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-4. The Blackhawks scored first; the Islanders answered. The Islanders led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Simon Holmstrom's goal at 14:06 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 2.2 to 1.5; shots on goal were CHI 30, NYI 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Arvid Soderblom stopped 14 of 19 (.737), 3.7 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Simon Holmstrom (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (3 A), 3. Tyler Bertuzzi (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    S. Holmstrom1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Pageau3 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    T. Bertuzzi2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI11105314430
NYINYI062837521

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    C. Bedard(6)PPG
    R. Donato (6), A. Vlasic (11)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    16:47

2nd period

  1. NYI
    D. Cholowski(3)
    S. Holmstrom (9), J. Pageau (8)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:59
  2. NYI
    S. Holmstrom(8)
    R. Pulock (10), J. Pageau (9)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:06

3rd period

  1. NYI
    N. Dobson(3)
    B. Nelson (9), A. Lee (12)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    5:39
  2. NYI
    B. Horvat(8)
    S. Holmstrom (10), J. Pageau (10)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-4
    6:36
  3. NYI
    M. Tsyplakov(6)
    K. Palmieri (13), N. Dobson (14)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    7:58
  4. CHI
    T. Brodie(1)
    C. Bedard (17), N. Foligno (5)
    slapxG 0.02Video
    2-5
    11:04
  5. CHI
    T. Bertuzzi(7)
    T. Hall (7)
    snapxG 0.13Video
    3-5
    18:50
  6. CHI
    T. Bertuzzi(8)
    A. Vlasic (12), C. Bedard (18)
    deflectedxG 0.17Video
    4-5
    19:50

Penalties

CHI 6 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:10NYIDennis Cholowski · Cross checkingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
  • 18:31CHICraig Smith · Roughingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min

2nd

  • 4:56CHIPhilipp Kurashev · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Ilya Sorokin2 min
  • 18:58NYIIsaiah George · Holdingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min

3rd

  • 14:54CHIKevin Korchinski · Slashingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalCHI goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Simon Holmstrom, 2nd 14:06 — NYI 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Tsyplakov · Goal · xG 0.31A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.14K. MacLean · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.09B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.09B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.09C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.08N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.06J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.05S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.04D. Cholowski · Goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.03B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.03S. Holmstrom · Goal · xG 0.03K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.03A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.02K. MacLean · On goal · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.00D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.00K. MacLean · On goal · xG 0.00M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.00P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI5 G · 1.5 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsNYI
2.24 G
All situations
5 G1.5
1.63 G
Even strength
5 G1.2
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI65%35%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 1.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsNYI
30
Shots on goal
21
27%
Faceoffs
73%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
22
15
Blocked shots
19
19
Giveaways
27
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72A. VlasicD022-120.02100—25:23
5C. MurphyD000000.00040—20:40
44W. KaiserD000-230.10020—19:36
98C. BedardC123+240.361102518:35
14K. KorchinskiD000-100.12122—17:52
86T. TeravainenC000000.00000017:30
78T. BrodieD101-110.03010—17:12
59T. BertuzziL202+150.55100—16:56
16J. DickinsonC000-100.240103516:15
17N. FolignoL011+110.00310—16:15
95I. MikheyevR000-220.15000—15:58
23P. KurashevC000-220.150025015:24
8R. DonatoC011+120.052001515:20
71T. HallL011+110.211103315:18
42N. AllanD000000.00120—14:29
73L. ReichelL000-110.022003312:43
77P. MaroonL000-210.002005009:42
15C. SmithC000-250.18002009:33
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Soderblom(L)19145.7371.34-3.6647:58
33D. Commesso2201.0000.16+0.1611:21

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).