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Ducks at Maple Leafs
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
2
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸3
FinalTV Victory+, SNO·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Pacioretty's goal at 12:54 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were ANA 28, TOR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Joseph Woll stopped 19 of 20 (.950). Three stars: 1. Max Pacioretty (2 G, 1 A), 2. John Tavares (2 A), 3. Jackson LaCombe (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Pacioretty2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    J. Tavares2 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. LaCombe1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA1811505228
TORTOR29114010333

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    M. Pacioretty(3)
    J. Tavares (12), J. McCabe (6)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:57
  2. TOR
    W. Nylander(18)
    M. Pacioretty (5), M. Rielly (12)
    batxG 0.18win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    14:17
  3. ANA
    F. Vatrano(7)PPG
    J. LaCombe (3), R. Strome (8)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:56

2nd period

  1. TOR
    M. Pacioretty(4)
    C. Timmins (5), J. Tavares (13)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:54
  2. ANA
    J. LaCombe(5)
    R. Strome (9), T. Terry (14)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    13:59

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·TOR 2 PIM

1st

  • 12:08ANARadko Gudas · Trippingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min
  • 14:53TORSimon Benoit · Holdingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min

2nd

  • 1:44ANAJacob Trouba · Holdingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalANA goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Max Pacioretty, 2nd 12:54 — TOR 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.38W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.18M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.17W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.15M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.14W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.13M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.13O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.13M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.13M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.12A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.12A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.12W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.11J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.11M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.10M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.09W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.09W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.09M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.08A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.08M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.07A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.06F. Minten · On goal · xG 0.06F. Minten · Missed · xG 0.05C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.05W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.05M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.04J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.04A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.03S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.03W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.02W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.02F. Minten · Missed · xG 0.01W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.00S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.00O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.00
TOR3 G · 3.7 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsTOR
2.02 G
All situations
3 G3.7
1.51 G
Even strength
3 G3.1
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA27%73%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 3.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsTOR
28
Shots on goal
33
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
22
Hits
16
16
Blocked shots
10
20
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
0

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD112+130.07000—22:24
4C. FowlerD000-200.00030—21:21
6B. DumoulinD000-200.03120—20:47
7R. GudasD000+100.00312—19:10
19T. TerryR011+120.14000—18:33
34P. MintyukovD000-100.00100—17:48
65J. TroubaD000-110.00442—17:43
77F. VatranoR101+150.21110—17:11
23M. McTavishC000-240.673005516:21
13R. FabbriC000-220.15010016:11
16R. StromeC022+120.130003316:01
91L. CarlssonC000000.000002915:27
61C. GauthierL000-220.18030—15:21
17A. KillornL000000.00100—14:32
20B. LeasonR000010.012104014:32
21I. LundestromC000-100.002004513:09
26B. McGinnL000-160.36200—11:04
38J. HarkinsC000-100.00200009:24
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(L)33303.9093.30+0.3059:01

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).