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Golden Knights at Senators
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸3
Ottawa Senators
2
FinalTV SCRIPPS, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brett Howden's goal at 10:51 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 66% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.0 to 3.0; shots on goal were VGK 32, OTT 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Ilya Samsonov (38 saves, .950), 2. Ivan Barbashev (2 A), 3. Drake Batherson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    I. Samsonov38 saves, .950
  2. ★★
    VGK
    I. Barbashev2 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    D. Batherson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK11511215332
OTTOTT01408218240

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    J. Eichel(6)
    I. Barbashev (10), S. Theodore (13)
    wristxG 0.40win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:45

2nd period

  1. VGK
    B. Howden(8)
    I. Barbashev (11), N. Hanifin (6)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    10:51

3rd period

  1. OTT
    A. Gaudette(8)PPG
    R. Greig (3), C. Giroux (8)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:17
  2. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(10)
    W. Karlsson (6), A. Holtz (7)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    9:17
  3. OTT
    D. Batherson(8)
    J. Sanderson (10), T. Stützle (15)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-2
    12:38

Penalties

VGK 8 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

2nd

  • 4:10VGKShea Theodore · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 8:13OTTJosh Norris · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 14:49OTTTyler Kleven · Boardingdrawn by Cole Schwindt2 min
  • 14:49VGKTanner Pearson · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Kleven2 min
  • 14:49OTTTyler Kleven · Roughingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min

3rd

  • 5:19VGKIlya Samsonov · Holdingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 13:21VGKserved by T. Hertl · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalVGK goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Brett Howden, 2nd 10:51 — VGK 66% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.27S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.25S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.19T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.17A. Gaudette · Goal · xG 0.17D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.16D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.14D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.11D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.10J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.08D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.07S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.04S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.02R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.02A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.02A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.00J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 3.0 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsOTT
4.03 G
All situations
2 G3.0
2.73 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK60%40%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.39 – 2.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsOTT
32
Shots on goal
40
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
36
23
Blocked shots
11
8
Giveaways
20
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3B. McNabbD000010.03240—26:19
27S. TheodoreD011020.12052—24:49
15N. HanifinD011+210.01100—22:41
2Z. WhitecloudD000+150.15140—22:11
9J. EichelC101040.550004821:13
71W. KarlssonC011+210.620007319:30
10N. RoyC000040.642102918:52
48T. HertlC000040.530201716:06
16P. DorofeyevR101+110.19010—15:47
49I. BarbashevL022+120.31220—15:34
21B. HowdenC101+110.172005015:06
55K. KolesarR000020.30810—14:12
26A. HoltzR011+230.16200—12:34
6K. KorczakD000+100.00000—12:28
68C. BurkeC000-110.14000010:42
22C. SchwindtR000000.002102009:13
18R. HaggD000000.00520—08:59
70T. PearsonL000000.14302—08:02
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35I. Samsonov(W)40382.9502.99+0.9959:52

Season series

VGK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).