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Senators at Golden Knights
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
4
Vegas Golden Knights
▸6
FinalTV SCRIPPS, TSN5·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Ottawa Senators 6-4. The Golden Knights came back from two goals down. The Senators led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Keegan Kolesar's goal at 17:49 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 52% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were OTT 39, VGK 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 3.2 goals below expected; Adin Hill stopped 35 of 39 (.897), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Keegan Kolesar (1 G), 2. Alex Pietrangelo (3 A), 3. Ivan Barbashev (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    K. Kolesar1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    A. Pietrangelo3 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    I. Barbashev2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT312116011439
VGKVGK2111839628

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    A. Gaudette(1)
    C. Reinhardt (1), J. Bernard-Docker (1)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:40
  2. OTT
    C. Giroux(3)
    N. Jensen (5), D. Batherson (4)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    12:15
  3. VGK
    N. Roy(2)
    T. Pearson (3), A. Pietrangelo (7)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:23
  4. VGK
    N. Hague(1)
    A. Holtz (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:44
  5. OTT
    D. Batherson(5)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-2
    18:34

2nd period

  1. VGK
    I. Barbashev(6)
    A. Pietrangelo (8), N. Hanifin (3)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-3
    6:40
  2. OTT
    A. Gaudette(2)PPG
    C. Giroux (4), T. Stützle (6)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +19 ptsVideo
    4-3
    17:44

3rd period

  1. VGK
    T. Hertl(4)PPG
    M. Stone (10), J. Eichel (10)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +38 ptsVideo
    4-4
    16:49
  2. VGK
    K. Kolesar(2)
    T. Pearson (4), A. Pietrangelo (9)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +43 ptsVideo
    4-5
    17:49
  3. VGK
    I. Barbashev(7)EN
    J. Eichel (11), M. Stone (11)
    wristxG 0.81win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-6
    18:14

Penalties

OTT 4 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:54OTTNick Jensen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 16:09VGKKeegan Kolesar · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 1:39VGKBrayden McNabb · Holdingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 14:55OTTNick Cousins · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalOTT goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Keegan Kolesar, 3rd 17:49 — VGK 52% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.81T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.18J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.17T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.15A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.14N. Roy · Goal · xG 0.12N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.08I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.06P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kolesar · Goal · xG 0.06S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.06P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.05A. Holtz · Missed · xG 0.05N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.04B. Brisson · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03C. Schwindt · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hague · Goal · xG 0.01M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.01N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK6 G · 2.6 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsVGK
2.24 G
All situations
5 G2.6
1.53 G
Even strength
4 G1.4
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT58%42%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 1.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsVGK
39
Shots on goal
28
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
28
Hits
32
20
Blocked shots
12
12
Giveaways
20
2
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000-420.08230—25:33
9J. NorrisC000-120.352206221:18
19D. BathersonR112010.22110—21:11
18T. StützleC011-130.091102521:07
23T. HamonicD000-330.07030—20:47
7B. TkachukL000-150.333103820:40
28C. GirouxR112-120.131204620:31
72T. ChabotD000+130.11130—19:41
3N. JensenD011+100.01222—19:31
43T. KlevenD000+110.03210—15:36
22M. AmadioR000-200.00000—14:22
71R. GreigC000-130.072004414:18
73N. GregorL000-120.06410—14:02
24J. Bernard-DockerD011+110.02100—13:37
21N. CousinsC000040.17402011:25
81A. GaudetteR202020.190005009:37
17Z. MacEwenR000020.01100—07:46
51C. ReinhardtL011030.29100—06:50
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(L)27225.8151.84-3.1658:14

Season series

VGK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).