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Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils

Final/OTTV MNMT, MSGSN2·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New Jersey Devils 6-5 in overtime, Tom Wilson scoring at 4:00. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Capitals led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tom Wilson's goal at 4:00 of overtime, which took the Capitals' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — WSH 3.2, NJD 3.1; shots on goal were WSH 37, NJD 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 1.9 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 31 of 37 (.838), 2.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nico Hischier (2 G, 1 A), 2. Tom Wilson (2 G, 1 A), 3. Timo Meier (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    N. Hischier2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    T. Wilson2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    T. Meier3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WSHWSH317280814637
NJDNJD1102102902531

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:45
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:01
  3. WSH
    snapxG 0.49win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:14
  4. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    14:18

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    0:34
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-3
    0:44
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.08win prob +19 ptsVideo
    4-3
    9:15
  4. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    5-3
    12:33

3rd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    5-4
    3:39
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.05win prob +31 ptsVideo
    5-5
    12:28

Overtime

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.10win prob +51 ptsVideo
    6-5
    4:00

Penalties

WSH 9 PIM·NJD 9 PIM

1st

  • 11:42WSHJakob Chychrun · Roughingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 17:40NJDErik Haula · Slashingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

3rd

  • 0:33NJDStefan Noesen · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime5 min
  • 0:33WSHBrandon Duhaime · Fightingdrawn by Stefan Noesen5 min
  • 10:59WSHRasmus Sandin · Interferencedrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 17:23NJDCurtis Lazar · High stickingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalWSH goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Tom Wilson, OT 4:00 — WSH 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.30T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.25N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.23N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.18J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.17N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.15N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.14D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.13J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.10D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.10N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.10O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.09D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.09J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.08T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.08J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.06S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.06E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.05J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.05J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.04D. Mercer · Goal · xG 0.04S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.03S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.02P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.02S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01S. Casey · Missed · xG 0.01E. Haula · Goal · xG 0.00E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD5 G · 3.1 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNJD
3.26 G
All situations
5 G3.1
2.76 G
Even strength
4 G2.6
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH52%48%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 3.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNJD
37
Shots on goal
31
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/2
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
9
37
Hits
31
15
Blocked shots
15
12
Giveaways
13
8
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011+110.12200—28:13
6J. ChychrunD022+150.21122—27:27
57T. van RiemsdykD022+240.05040—22:10
17D. StromeC123+230.200004719:04
38R. SandinD000+110.06222—18:52
26N. DowdC000-120.142204718:08
43T. WilsonR213+240.28700—17:51
8A. OvechkinL101050.36300—17:29
80P. DuboisC000+100.363002717:09
42M. FehérváryD000010.00430—16:49
24C. McMichaelL112+110.49010—16:44
22B. DuhaimeL000-120.22205—16:25
21A. ProtasL011+110.190005016:22
16T. RaddyshR000-100.00300—16:13
88A. MangiapaneL101+130.3510010014:59
29H. LapierreC000000.003006709:39
13J. VranaL000020.13000—08:19
52D. McIlrathD000-220.03410—07:00
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
48L. Thompson(W)31265.8393.08-1.9263:38

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).