New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals
Recap
written from the game dataThe New Jersey Devils beat the Washington Capitals 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Devils led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul Cotter's goal at 13:38 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 68% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.6 to 2.7; shots on goal were NJD 33, WSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Charlie Lindgren stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Paul Cotter (2 G), 2. Erik Haula (3 A), 3. John Carlson (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★P. Cotter2 G

- ★★E. Haula3 A

- ★★★J. Carlson1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
0-110:48
1-113:42
2-116:24
2nd period
2-20:32
3-23:56
4-213:38
3rd period
4-31:35
5-319:52
Penalties
1st
- 1:51
Nic Dowd · Trippingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
- 4:50
Jakob Chychrun · Trippingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
- 10:38
Timo Meier · Cross checkingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
2nd
- 9:50
Pierre-Luc Dubois · Cross checkingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
- 9:50
Johnathan Kovacevic · Roughingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
- 16:42
Paul Cotter · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Sandin2 min
3rd
- 3:15
Nic Dowd · High stickingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
- 4:56
Jesper Bratt · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
- 9:22
Tom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Paul Cotter, 2nd 13:38 — 68% → 85%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.64 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.7
- 2.24 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.2
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 2.71
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 58%
- Faceoffs
- 42%
- 0/4
- Power play
- 1/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 19
- Hits
- 21
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 18
- 16
- Giveaways
- 17
- 3
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 2-2
5@
3this game
6@
5OTFinal
3@
2Final
6@
5Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
