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Stars at Avalanche
NHL

Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸5
Colorado Avalanche
1
FinalTV ESPN, SN·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Wyatt Johnston's goal at 5:46 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 66% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 5.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were DAL 34, COL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 29 of 33 (.879). Three stars: 1. Wyatt Johnston (2 G, 1 A), 2. Miro Heiskanen (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jason Robertson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    W. Johnston2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    M. Heiskanen1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL11621226534
COLCOL02111012125

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    W. Johnston(6)SHG
    S. Steel (3)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    15:37

2nd period

  1. DAL
    W. Johnston(7)PPG
    J. Robertson (6), M. Heiskanen (7)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:46
  2. DAL
    M. Heiskanen(4)
    L. Stankoven (3), J. Robertson (7)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    11:24
  3. COL
    C. Mittelstadt(2)
    J. Drouin (1)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-1
    12:35

3rd period

  1. DAL
    E. Dadonov(3)
    M. Marchment (2), M. Heiskanen (8)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-1
    9:27
  2. DAL
    S. Steel(1)EN
    W. Johnston (4), T. Seguin (4)
    wristxG 0.75Video
    5-1
    18:10

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:27COLCaleb Jones · Trippingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 15:18DALLogan Stankoven · Hookingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 20:00DALJamie Benn · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Alexandar Georgiev2 min
  • 20:00COLJosh Manson · Roughingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min

2nd

  • 3:59COLCaleb Jones · Hookingdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min

3rd

  • 13:22DALChris Tanev · Delaying game2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalDAL goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Wyatt Johnston, 2nd 5:46 — DAL 66% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Mittelstadt · Goal · xG 0.29A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.16J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.07S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.03S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.00J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.00N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.00
COL1 G · 1.9 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCOL
5.04 G
All situations
1 G1.9
2.02 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
1.31 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.51 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL79%21%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.65 – 1.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCOL
34
Shots on goal
25
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
42
27
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
9
11
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD123+230.22040—26:13
55T. HarleyD000+300.04150—24:17
23E. LindellD000+110.03110—22:23
3C. TanevD000010.10312—21:02
53W. JohnstonC213+281.250104020:39
21J. RobertsonL022+140.33440—19:39
16J. PavelskiC000040.272103317:32
14J. BennL000020.932027516:43
20R. SuterD000000.00210—16:15
18S. SteelC112+220.850102515:52
95M. DucheneC000000.022406415:32
27M. MarchmentL011020.09300—15:26
91T. SeguinC011+220.171002913:50
11L. StankovenC011+100.00302013:19
63E. DadonovL101030.51000—13:10
15C. SmithC000000.090105009:28
24R. HintzC000000.0001010006:35
5N. LundkvistD000020.05020—06:05
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)25241.9601.87+0.8760:00

Series

DAL leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).