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Islanders at Hurricanes
NHL

New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
3
Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
FinalTV TBS, MAX·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New York Islanders 6-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Drury's goal at 4:36 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.4 to 2.2; shots on goal were NYI 24, CAR 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 2.5 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Drury (1 G), 2. Seth Jarvis (1 G, 2 A), 3. Evgeny Kuznetsov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Drury1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    E. Kuznetsov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI14210010324
CARCAR3210938638

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    T. Teravainen(2)
    S. Jarvis (3), J. Slavin (1)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:23
  2. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(1)PPG
    S. Jarvis (4), B. Burns (1)
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    3:13
  3. NYI
    M. Reilly(1)PPG
    M. Barzal (2), B. Nelson (2)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:54
  4. CAR
    E. Kuznetsov(2)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.29win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-3
    13:22

2nd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(2)
    K. Palmieri (2), R. Pulock (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    3:47
  2. NYI
    C. Cizikas(1)
    M. Barzal (3), R. Pulock (3)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-3
    19:38

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Drury(1)
    B. Skjei (4), M. Necas (4)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-4
    4:36
  2. CAR
    S. Noesen(3)
    B. Skjei (5), E. Kuznetsov (2)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-5
    4:44
  3. CAR
    S. Jarvis(3)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.93win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-6
    18:21

Penalties

NYI 2 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:56NYIHudson Fasching · Cross checkingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 3:43CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Slashingdrawn by Kyle MacLean2 min
  • 7:02CARDmitry Orlov · Roughingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 13:22NYIAlexander Romanov · Ps covering puck in crease0 min

2nd

  • 7:52CARTony DeAngelo · Roughingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

3rd

  • 9:04CARAndrei Svechnikov · Slashingdrawn by Mike Reilly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNYI goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jack Drury, 3rd 4:36 — CAR 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.93A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.30E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.29S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.16J. Drury · Goal · xG 0.13B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.12J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.12S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.11M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.10E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.07J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.06J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.05J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.05S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.04T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.04M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.03J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.01J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.00J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.00B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR6 G · 3.4 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsCAR
2.23 G
All situations
5 G3.4
1.32 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
0.91 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI44%56%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsCAR
24
Shots on goal
38
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/4
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
25
17
Blocked shots
16
13
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD000-210.06110—25:35
6R. PulockD022+100.03120—23:30
13M. BarzalC022-120.10010022:05
14B. HorvatC000-150.340004220:33
2M. ReillyD101-140.10020—19:45
21K. PalmieriC011010.35020019:30
29B. NelsonC112010.150104319:14
3A. PelechD000020.03130—19:01
28A. RomanovD000000.05120—17:28
27A. LeeL000-220.30300—17:15
44J. PageauC000-110.080105217:12
18P. EngvallL000-110.01000—16:01
53C. CizikasC101010.20200012:18
10S. HolmstromR000+100.03000—11:58
32K. MacLeanC000-130.301002010:28
41R. BortuzzoD000-100.00010—10:23
20H. FaschingR000-100.00112—09:17
15C. ClutterbuckR000-100.03300—08:42
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(L)37325.8652.51-2.4958:28

Series

CAR leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).