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Hurricanes at Islanders
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
2
New York Islanders
▸3
Final/2OTTV TBS, truTV·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-2 in double overtime, Mathew Barzal scoring at 1:24. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Barzal's goal at 1:24 of the second overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals were close — CAR 3.5, NYI 3.3; shots on goal were CAR 44, NYI 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Semyon Varlamov stopped 42 of 44 (.955), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mathew Barzal (2 G), 2. Semyon Varlamov (42 saves, .955), 3. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    M. Barzal2 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    S. Varlamov42 saves, .955
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    J. Pageau1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOT2OTT
CARCAR180131501701244
NYINYI06181110911335

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis(2)PPG
    J. Guentzel (3)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:00

2nd period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(1)
    A. Pelech (2), B. Horvat (1)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:10

3rd period

  1. NYI
    J. Pageau(1)PPG
    N. Dobson (1), A. Lee (3)
    snapxG 0.35win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:38
  2. CAR
    S. Noesen(2)PPG
    T. Teravainen (2), M. Necas (3)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +30 ptsVideo
    2-2
    14:08

2OT overtime

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(2)
    R. Bortuzzo (1), B. Horvat (2)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +48 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:24

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·NYI 12 PIM

1st

  • 7:14NYIAnders Lee · Trippingdrawn by Jalen Chatfield2 min

2nd

  • 11:48NYINoah Dobson · Slashingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 20:00CARSebastian Aho · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Romanov2 min

3rd

  • 3:24NYINoah Dobson · Cross checkingdrawn by Teuvo Teravainen2 min
  • 10:32CARJaccob Slavin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:34NYIRobert Bortuzzo · Hookingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min

OT

  • 20:00CARJake Guentzel · Roughingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min
  • 20:00CARDmitry Orlov · Elbowingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 20:00NYIAnders Lee · Roughingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 20:00NYIAdam Pelech · Roughingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalCAR goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Mathew Barzal, 2OT 1:24 — NYI 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.35A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.30J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.28J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.23A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.22P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.20K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.13M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.11M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.08H. Fasching · Missed · xG 0.08B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.07C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.07P. Engvall · Missed · xG 0.07M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.06M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.06B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.06H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.05K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.04N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.04B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.03B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.03B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.03N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.02M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.02M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.01A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.00R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.00B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.00K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.00M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.00A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 3.3 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNYI
3.52 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.70 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.82 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 130 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR55%45%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.42 – 3.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNYI
44
Shots on goal
35
32%
Faceoffs
68%
2/4
Power play
1/2
8
Penalty minutes
12
26
Hits
40
18
Blocked shots
22
16
Giveaways
22
6
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. OrlovD000030.19332—29:07
20S. AhoC000-130.513221728:25
5J. ChatfieldD000-120.02110—28:19
8B. BurnsD000040.19130—26:53
74J. SlavinD000010.03022—26:36
37A. SvechnikovR000-130.10300—25:51
59J. GuentzelC011020.10002025:27
76B. SkjeiD000-200.08320—25:12
24S. JarvisR101030.42120—24:57
86T. TeravainenC011-110.140105024:31
88M. NecasC011-120.21110022:23
77T. DeAngeloD000-150.10000—21:15
11J. StaalC000020.327004420:57
48J. MartinookL000050.41010—20:11
82J. KotkaniemiC000-140.371003818:14
92E. KuznetsovC000010.050001312:08
23S. NoesenR101-120.21200—11:41
18J. DruryC000010.0200010011:31
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(L)35323.9143.26+0.2681:08

Series

CAR leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).