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Red Wings at Penguins
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
5
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸6
Final/OTTV BSDET, SN-PIT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Detroit Red Wings 6-5 in overtime, Erik Karlsson scoring at 1:40. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Erik Karlsson's goal at 1:40 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.3 to 2.9; shots on goal were DET 30, PIT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 21 of 27 (.778), 3.1 goals below expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 2 A), 2. Erik Karlsson (1 G), 3. Lucas Raymond (3 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    E. Karlsson1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    L. Raymond3 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET2101102901530
PITPIT282101712627

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    D. O'Connor(15)
    B. Rust (26), S. Crosby (47)
    backhandxG 0.59win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:40
  2. DET
    L. Raymond(27)
    A. DeBrincat (37)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:39
  3. PIT
    K. Letang(10)
    M. Bunting (32), R. Rakell (20)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:09
  4. DET
    L. Raymond(28)
    A. DeBrincat (38), D. Larkin (32)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:46

2nd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(41)
    B. Rust (27), R. Smith (26)
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-3
    7:58
  2. PIT
    B. Rust(27)
    R. Smith (27)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    12:44
  3. DET
    J. Petry(3)
    M. Seider (33), D. Sprong (24)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-4
    19:24

3rd period

  1. PIT
    J. Carter(10)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-5
    3:32
  2. DET
    D. Larkin(32)
    L. Raymond (39), J. Compher (27)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-5
    12:56
  3. DET
    L. Raymond(29)
    D. Larkin (33), A. DeBrincat (39)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +37 ptsVideo
    5-5
    14:53

Overtime

  1. PIT
    E. Karlsson(10)
    S. Crosby (48), R. Rakell (21)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +49 ptsVideo
    5-6
    1:40

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·PIT 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:09DETRobby Fabbri · Trippingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 10:22PITEvgeni Malkin · Holdingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min

2nd

  • 10:00DETBen Chiarot · Roughingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 10:00PITSidney Crosby · Holdingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min
  • 14:04PITMarcus Pettersson · Cross checkingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min

3rd

  • 2:13PITRadim Zohorna · Hookingdrawn by Joseph Veleno2 min
  • 8:44DETZachary Aston-Reese · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalDET goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Erik Karlsson, OT 1:40 — PIT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.59S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.20R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.19S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.17D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.17R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.14D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.13E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.12S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.10S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.09R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.09B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.09K. Letang · Goal · xG 0.08E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.07J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.07E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.06E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.01E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.01E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.01P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.01V. Puustinen · Missed · xG 0.00S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.00M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT6 G · 2.9 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsPIT
3.35 G
All situations
6 G2.9
2.75 G
Even strength
5 G2.3
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET56%44%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.19 – 2.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsPIT
30
Shots on goal
27
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/3
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
22
Hits
16
19
Blocked shots
13
3
Giveaways
5
8
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD011-100.01310—23:51
71D. LarkinC123+130.443207022:41
37J. CompherL011-230.380104721:53
23L. RaymondL314+140.58110—21:20
88P. KaneR000-220.21000—20:28
8B. ChiarotD000010.02302—20:15
77S. EdvinssonD000+110.04140—20:02
57D. PerronL000-120.10000—19:12
93A. DeBrincatR033-170.5721010018:33
41S. GostisbehereD000-110.06010—18:11
46J. PetryD101+110.02230—18:08
2O. MaattaD000000.19130—15:26
14R. FabbriC000010.121125012:14
90J. VelenoC000+110.121005011:55
36C. FischerR000010.01010—10:40
17D. SprongR011000.15200—10:15
21A. CzarnikC000010.101004508:43
11Z. Aston-ReeseL000010.14102—05:13
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(O)27216.7782.88-3.1261:40

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).