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Penguins at Red Wings
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
3
Detroit Red Wings
▸6
FinalTV TNT, MAX·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 6-3. The Penguins scored first; the Red Wings answered. The Red Wings led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ben Chiarot's goal at 5:21 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals were close — PIT 3.1, DET 3.4; shots on goal were PIT 33, DET 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.7 goals below expected; Ville Husso stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Andrew Copp (2 G), 2. Alex DeBrincat (2 G, 1 A), 3. Erik Karlsson (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    A. Copp2 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. DeBrincat2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    E. Karlsson1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT1609218333
DETDET17312210629

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(3)
    R. Smith (2), E. Karlsson (2)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:53
  2. DET
    A. DeBrincat(4)
    A. Czarnik (1), S. Gostisbehere (3)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:23

2nd period

  1. DET
    B. Chiarot(1)
    D. Larkin (3), J. Petry (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:21
  2. DET
    A. Copp(2)
    J. Petry (2), M. Rasmussen (1)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:42
  3. DET
    D. Perron(1)PPG
    D. Larkin (4), A. DeBrincat (3)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-4
    17:49

3rd period

  1. PIT
    E. Karlsson(1)
    S. Crosby (2), R. Graves (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    3:37
  2. PIT
    B. Rust(4)
    E. Karlsson (3), M. Pettersson (2)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-4
    13:03
  3. DET
    A. Copp(3)EN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.56win prob +6 ptsVideo
    3-5
    18:28
  4. DET
    A. DeBrincat(5)EN
    D. Larkin (5)
    wristxG 0.48Video
    3-6
    18:49

Penalties

PIT 13 PIM·DET 13 PIM

1st

  • 9:55DETKlim Kostin · Interferencedrawn by Chad Ruhwedel2 min

2nd

  • 17:32PITJansen Harkins · Trippingdrawn by Daniel Sprong2 min
  • 19:08DETDylan Larkin · Trippingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 19:08DETDylan Larkin · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson5 min
  • 19:08PITMarcus Pettersson · Fightingdrawn by Dylan Larkin5 min
  • 19:46PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min
  • 19:46DETMoritz Seider · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 19:46PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min

3rd

  • 5:32DETJeff Petry · Hookingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
  • 7:17PITKris Letang · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Andrew Copp0 min
  • 18:28PITserved by J. Harkins · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalPIT goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Ben Chiarot, 2nd 5:21 — DET 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Copp · Goal · xG 0.56A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.49D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.31A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.21A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.21L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.20D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.12D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.10A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.10D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.08C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.08A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.07D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.07O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.07S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.06D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.06A. Copp · Goal · xG 0.05C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.05D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.04C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.04M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.04B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · Goal · xG 0.02A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.02J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.02D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.01D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.01J. Veleno · Missed · xG 0.01A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01
DET6 G · 3.4 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsDET
3.13 G
All situations
4 G3.4
2.13 G
Even strength
3 G1.4
1.10 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT62%38%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.92 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsDET
33
Shots on goal
29
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/3
Power play
2/3
13
Penalty minutes
13
14
Hits
14
8
Blocked shots
20
10
Giveaways
13
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD123+240.60100—27:56
58K. LetangD000000.03210—24:35
59J. GuentzelC000+110.43200022:14
27R. GravesD011040.25310—22:03
87S. CrosbyC011+130.481007121:30
28M. PetterssonD011+110.01025—20:36
17B. RustR101+120.22000—18:32
67R. RakellR000-170.61210—17:53
71E. MalkinC101-230.160043817:27
19R. SmithR011-100.00000—14:36
83M. NietoL000-100.00020—14:12
20L. EllerC000-110.012006012:45
10D. O'ConnorL000010.05000—11:40
73P. JosephD000-330.04000—11:36
55N. AcciariC000-100.000003611:35
77J. CarterC000020.2400010011:01
2C. RuhwedelD000-200.00010—08:59
43J. HarkinsC000010.01102008:47
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(L)27234.8522.34-1.6659:25

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).