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Senators at Capitals
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸3
Washington Capitals
2
Final/OTTV MNMT, TVAS·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Washington Capitals 3-2 in overtime, Jake Sanderson scoring at 0:41. The Capitals scored first; the Senators answered. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Sanderson's goal at 0:41 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — OTT 2.7, WSH 2.6; shots on goal were OTT 21, WSH 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Charlie Lindgren stopped 18 of 21 (.857). Three stars: 1. Jake Sanderson (1 G), 2. Ridly Greig (1 G, 1 A), 3. Max Pacioretty (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    J. Sanderson1 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    R. Greig1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    M. Pacioretty1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT05161911321
WSHWSH141801000222

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    M. Pacioretty(4)
    H. Lapierre (13)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:43

2nd period

  1. OTT
    M. Kastelic(5)
    J. Chychrun (26), P. Kelly (10)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:40
  2. WSH
    A. Protas(6)
    T. van Riemsdyk (13), M. Fehérváry (12)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +22 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:10

3rd period

  1. OTT
    R. Greig(13)
    S. Pinto (18), E. Brannstrom (16)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +31 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:49

Overtime

  1. OTT
    J. Sanderson(10)
    R. Greig (13), B. Tkachuk (34)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    0:41

Penalties

OTT 8 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 20:00WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Mark Kastelic2 min
  • 20:00OTTMark Kastelic · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 20:00OTTMark Kastelic · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Strome2 min

2nd

  • 1:12OTTMathieu Joseph · Trippingdrawn by Connor McMichael2 min

3rd

  • 4:07WSHMax Pacioretty · Trippingdrawn by Jake Sanderson2 min
  • 6:39OTTRidly Greig · Slashingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min
  • 10:44WSHConnor McMichael · High stickingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalOTT goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Jake Sanderson, OT 0:41 — OTT 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.28M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.24M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.21T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.13S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.12A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.12A. Protas · Goal · xG 0.12N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.11T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.09D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.09T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.06T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06B. Malenstyn · Missed · xG 0.06D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.05D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.05C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.04T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.01T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.01C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.00N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.00J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.00
WSH2 G · 2.6 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsWSH
2.73 G
All situations
2 G2.6
2.23 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.50 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT52%48%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 2.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsWSH
21
Shots on goal
22
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
39
Hits
23
12
Blocked shots
21
4
Giveaways
6
9
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD101010.0313010025:05
7B. TkachukL011+120.226002521:37
2A. ZubD000-100.02000—21:32
6J. ChychrunD011010.30220—21:23
28C. GirouxR000020.260006721:13
19D. BathersonR000020.19100—20:25
57S. PintoC011+140.481004518:31
72T. ChabotD000+110.12110—18:13
71R. GreigC112+220.273027118:11
26E. BrannstromD011+110.06110—17:17
24J. Bernard-DockerD000000.01130—17:10
21M. JosephR000+110.18402—15:40
27P. KellyC011-100.00510013:49
14B. KatchoukL000-200.0010010010:27
12M. KastelicC101-130.235046710:17
13J. SmejkalL000000.162003309:14
20B. ImamaL000+110.17200—08:21
17Z. MacEwenR000000.0031010008:14
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(W)22202.9092.63+0.6360:05

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).