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Capitals at Senators
NHL

Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
1
Ottawa Senators
▸6
FinalTV MNMT, SN·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Washington Capitals 6-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Norris's goal at 1:47 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were WSH 24, OTT 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 23 of 29 (.793), 3.3 goals below expected; Anton Forsberg stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Josh Norris (2 G), 2. Tim Stützle (3 A), 3. Jake Sanderson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    J. Norris2 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    T. Stützle3 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    J. Sanderson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH1120903124
OTTOTT26312111629

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    V. Tarasenko(2)
    R. Greig (3), T. Chabot (1)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:28
  2. OTT
    J. Norris(1)PPG
    D. Batherson (1), T. Stützle (2)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:29
  3. WSH
    J. Carlson(1)
    A. Ovechkin (1), T. Wilson (1)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:54

2nd period

  1. OTT
    J. Norris(2)
    D. Batherson (2)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    1:47
  2. OTT
    A. Zub(1)
    J. Sanderson (3), V. Tarasenko (4)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-4
    4:47
  3. OTT
    C. Giroux(1)
    T. Chabot (2), T. Stützle (3)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-5
    15:47

3rd period

  1. OTT
    J. Sanderson(2)
    T. Stützle (4), C. Giroux (4)
    wristxG 0.04Video
    1-6
    11:48

Penalties

WSH 19 PIM·OTT 13 PIM

1st

  • 11:31WSHT.J. Oshie · Slashingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min

2nd

  • 12:53OTTMark Kastelic · Trippingdrawn by Nicklas Backstrom2 min
  • 15:47WSHserved by A. Ovechkin · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 18:57WSHTom Wilson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Mark Kastelic2 min
  • 18:57OTTMark Kastelic · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min
  • 18:57WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Mark Kastelic5 min

3rd

  • 2:56OTTDominik Kubalik · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Sandin2 min
  • 5:32WSHMartin Fehérváry · Holding the stickdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 12:03WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Jake Sanderson2 min
  • 12:03WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Travis Hamonic2 min
  • 12:03OTTJake Sanderson · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 12:03OTTTravis Hamonic · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 15:58WSHRasmus Sandin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalWSH goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Norris, 2nd 1:47 — OTT 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.35M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.22V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.21J. Norris · Goal · xG 0.18C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.18T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.17J. Norris · Goal · xG 0.16C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.12M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.09M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.09D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.06D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.06J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.05E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.05T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.05M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · Goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.03D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.03M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03A. Zub · Goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.02J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01
OTT6 G · 2.7 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsOTT
1.61 G
All situations
6 G2.7
1.21 G
Even strength
5 G1.5
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH28%72%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.54 – 2.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsOTT
24
Shots on goal
29
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/2
Power play
1/5
19
Penalty minutes
13
20
Hits
16
22
Blocked shots
14
1
Giveaways
4
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57T. van RiemsdykD000-110.02030—22:05
38R. SandinD000020.16212—21:41
3N. JensenD000-200.01120—20:38
74J. CarlsonD101030.29140—19:05
42M. FehérváryD000-210.01132—19:00
8A. OvechkinL011-100.00400—18:33
92E. KuznetsovC000-120.090003317:13
17D. StromeC000010.100005416:28
24C. McMichaelL000-230.25010—15:49
43T. WilsonR011-120.17501110014:39
45M. PhillipsR000-100.0001010013:56
47B. MalenstynL000010.02230—13:55
46L. JohansenD000-310.02000—13:43
39A. ManthaR000-100.00210—13:33
19N. BackstromC000-100.000203813:09
77T. OshieR000-160.391023313:03
21A. ProtasL000-200.001102512:50
15S. MilanoL000-110.07000—11:42
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)29236.7932.73-3.2760:00

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).