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Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV SN-PIT, MSGSN·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New Jersey Devils 6-3. The Penguins came back from two goals down. The Devils led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rickard Rakell's goal at 16:16 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 48% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 2.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were PIT 21, NJD 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Jake Allen stopped 15 of 20 (.750), 3.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (2 G, 1 A), 2. Rickard Rakell (1 G), 3. Nico Hischier (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    R. Rakell1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    N. Hischier2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT140859621
NJDNJD11021105326

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:54
  2. NJD
    T. Meier(25)PPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:43

2nd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.21win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:42
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:47

3rd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(38)PPG
    E. Malkin (36), B. Rust (23)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-3
    6:48
  2. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-3
    7:55
  3. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +41 ptsVideo
    4-3
    16:16
  4. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +9 ptsVideo
    5-3
    16:38
  5. PIT
    S. Crosby(39)EN
    B. Rust (24)
    pokexG 0.46win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-3
    17:07

Penalties

PIT 8 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

1st

  • 19:21PITReilly Smith · Holdingdrawn by John Marino2 min

2nd

  • 6:44PITPierre-Olivier Joseph · Slashingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 10:11NJDTimo Meier · Interferencedrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 12:57PITReilly Smith · Interferencedrawn by Timo Meier2 min

3rd

  • 3:38NJDKevin Bahl · Interferencedrawn by Drew O'Connor2 min
  • 6:22NJDJesper Bratt · Slashingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 11:23PITEvgeni Malkin · Boardingdrawn by Simon Nemec2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalPIT goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Rickard Rakell, 3rd 16:16 — PIT 48% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.21C. Lazar · Goal · xG 0.21J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.19E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.18D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.18J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.17N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.14T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.13J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.10J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.10J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.08T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.06C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.05T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.04J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.04J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.02K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.02K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.01S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.01S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.01O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.00M. Willman · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD3 G · 2.7 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNJD
1.85 G
All situations
3 G2.7
1.04 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT25%75%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.34 – 2.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNJD
21
Shots on goal
26
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
13
17
Blocked shots
18
4
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28M. PetterssonD011+320.01110—23:10
58K. LetangD011+200.02120—22:33
65E. KarlssonD101020.08000—21:54
17B. RustR022000.01010—18:33
20L. EllerC000020.191006218:02
19R. SmithR000-110.02014—16:51
71E. MalkinC213+420.440123316:44
73P. JosephD000000.03112—16:44
10D. O'ConnorL000020.03240—16:31
67R. RakellR101+430.08110—16:19
87S. CrosbyC202-120.631004816:09
5R. SheaD000+100.00010—15:55
3J. St. IvanyD011010.00210—15:45
8M. BuntingL022+410.11000—15:25
77J. CarterC000010.023106714:29
52E. BemstromC000000.03110010:45
48V. PuustinenR000-100.00010—09:14
18J. PuljujarviR000020.08200—08:35
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(W)26233.8852.67-0.3360:00

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).