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Devils at Penguins
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
▸5
Pittsburgh Penguins
2
FinalTV SN-PIT, MSG·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-2. The Penguins scored first; the Devils answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesper Bratt's goal at 2:35 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 45% to 71%. Expected goals were close — NJD 2.5, PIT 2.5; shots on goal were NJD 31, PIT 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 21 of 23 (.913); Tristan Jarry stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jesper Bratt (1 G, 1 A), 2. Bryan Rust (2 G), 3. Curtis Lazar (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Bratt1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    B. Rust2 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    C. Lazar1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD110111310531
PITPIT191707223

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(8)
    J. Guentzel (13)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:36
  2. NJD
    C. Lazar(3)SHG
    E. Haula (4)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:34

2nd period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(9)
    E. Karlsson (11), S. Crosby (10)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:17
  2. NJD
    N. Bastian(1)
    E. Haula (5), D. Hamilton (7)
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    3:55

3rd period

  1. NJD
    J. Bratt(8)
    L. Hughes (8), C. Lazar (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-2
    2:35
  2. NJD
    A. Holtz(4)
    D. Mercer (1), O. Palat (6)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    4-2
    11:24
  3. NJD
    T. Toffoli(9)
    J. Bratt (14), L. Hughes (9)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-2
    11:44

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·PIT 2 PIM

1st

  • 11:53NJDKevin Bahl · Hookingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

3rd

  • 0:38PITSidney Crosby · Trippingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 1:19NJDErik Haula · Trippingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 14:48NJDDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalNJD goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Jesper Bratt, 3rd 2:35 — NJD 45% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.32J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.23B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.16E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.15K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.12J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.12R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.12B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.10S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.10B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.09S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.08L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.08V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.08E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.07R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.07N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.06E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.05R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04R. Zohorna · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.03M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.03K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02C. Ruhwedel · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.00D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.00M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT2 G · 2.5 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsPIT
2.55 G
All situations
2 G2.5
2.24 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD49%51%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsPIT
31
Shots on goal
23
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
21
Hits
22
10
Blocked shots
11
2
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
91D. MercerC011+120.232105322:00
6J. MarinoD000+100.00030—21:27
63J. BrattL112+130.19000—20:07
71J. SiegenthalerD000020.08310—18:49
10A. HoltzR101+130.31020—18:39
18O. PalatL011+110.01100—18:22
73T. ToffoliC101040.58000018:19
2B. SmithD000+110.03200—17:55
20M. McLeodC000030.341007517:36
24C. MillerD000+120.05100—17:30
43L. HughesD022+300.00000—16:12
56E. HaulaL022+140.191023816:10
7D. HamiltonD011+110.10022—16:00
42C. LazarC112+210.072108313:17
46M. WillmanC000020.04200013:08
88K. BahlD000-100.00302—12:08
92T. NosekL000010.01200—09:25
14N. BastianR101010.24100—06:59
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek(W)23212.9132.47+0.4759:57

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).