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Red Wings at Lightning
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸4
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
FinalTV BSDETX, BSSUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-2. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Perron's goal at 17:20 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 48% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.4 to 3.1; shots on goal were DET 32, TBL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 28 of 31 (.903). Three stars: 1. David Perron (1 G), 2. Alex Lyon (34 saves, .944), 3. Anthony Cirelli (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    D. Perron1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. Lyon34 saves, .944
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET01219311432
TBLTBL016110110236

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    P. Kane(18)
    D. Larkin (30), A. DeBrincat (36)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:37
  2. TBL
    A. Cirelli(19)SHG
    B. Hagel (44)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:36

3rd period

  1. DET
    R. Fabbri(18)
    J. Compher (25)
    wristxG 0.27win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:40
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(31)PPG
    B. Point (40), N. Kucherov (85)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:59
  3. DET
    D. Perron(15)
    M. Seider (31), J. Compher (26)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +43 ptsVideo
    3-2
    17:20
  4. DET
    L. Raymond(25)EN
    D. Larkin (31)
    wristxG 0.59win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-2
    18:57

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:22DETAustin Czarnik · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 10:07DETLucas Raymond · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 17:32TBLBrandon Hagel · Hookingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min

2nd

  • 7:14TBLVictor Hedman · Trippingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min

3rd

  • 0:14TBLDarren Raddysh · Trippingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 4:11DETAndrew Copp · Boardingdrawn by Mitchell Chaffee2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalDET goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: David Perron, 3rd 17:20 — DET 48% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.17B. Point · On goal · xG 0.17N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.15N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.14S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.14A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.14B. Point · Missed · xG 0.13A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.13S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.11A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.11M. Chaffee · Missed · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.09M. Chaffee · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.08M. Chaffee · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.07N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.07M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.06M. Chaffee · On goal · xG 0.06A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.06A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.05V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.03T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.02M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.02N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.02T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.02A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.02S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.02T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.01A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.01N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.00E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.00E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.00M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL2 G · 3.4 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsTBL
3.13 G
All situations
2 G3.4
1.63 G
Even strength
0 G1.8
0.90 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET36%64%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 3.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsTBL
32
Shots on goal
36
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
29
Hits
36
19
Blocked shots
14
1
Giveaways
3
1
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD011+130.12780—25:04
37J. CompherL022+320.230105023:01
8B. ChiarotD000+230.08210—21:10
71D. LarkinC022+270.300105220:31
77S. EdvinssonD000+200.00110—20:06
57D. PerronL101+120.41310—18:51
18A. CoppC000-100.010125318:34
41S. GostisbehereD000000.00000—18:13
46J. PetryD000+210.01520—17:35
23L. RaymondL101+220.89002—17:06
36C. FischerR000010.00210—16:10
88P. KaneR101030.14000—15:34
93A. DeBrincatR011030.25100—15:24
27M. RasmussenC000010.18100014:11
96J. WalmanD000020.15410—12:10
14R. FabbriC101+120.34110009:14
21A. CzarnikC000000.001023306:51
90J. VelenoC000000.001005004:42
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(W)36342.9443.38+1.3859:45

Season series

DET leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).