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Red Wings at Hurricanes
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
0
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
FinalTV BSDET, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-0. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 4:42 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were DET 24, CAR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. James Reimer stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.1 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Seth Jarvis (1 G, 2 A), 2. Frederik Andersen (24 saves, 1.000), 3. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    F. Andersen24 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0309012024
CARCAR01541008433

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(32)
    J. Guentzel (41), S. Jarvis (31)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:42
  2. CAR
    S. Jarvis(28)PPG
    S. Aho (50), J. Guentzel (42)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:39
  3. CAR
    M. Necas(23)
    E. Kuznetsov (15), J. Martinook (15)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    10:46
  4. CAR
    B. Skjei(13)
    S. Aho (51), S. Jarvis (32)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +3 ptsVideo
    0-4
    16:23

Penalties

DET 4 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 19:27DETDavid Perron · Hookingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min

2nd

  • 4:53DETJeff Petry · Trippingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 18:36CARMartin Necas · Hookingdrawn by David Perron2 min

3rd

  • 2:59CARBrady Skjei · Slashingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalDET goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, 2nd 4:42 — CAR 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.20S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.20J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.15S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.14B. Skjei · Goal · xG 0.13S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.13M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.11M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.11S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.11J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.11T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.08J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.07J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.04E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.04M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.03J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.03J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.02J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.01S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 2.9 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCAR
2.50 G
All situations
4 G2.9
2.00 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET42%58%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 2.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCAR
24
Shots on goal
33
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
13
11
Blocked shots
13
5
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
71D. LarkinC000040.341004820:04
46J. PetryD000-310.01202—18:42
37J. CompherL000000.211205818:20
53M. SeiderD000-120.17120—18:15
8B. ChiarotD000-110.01220—18:13
77S. EdvinssonD000-100.20200—18:09
27M. RasmussenC000-320.24110017:49
57D. PerronL000040.58102—17:15
93A. DeBrincatR000030.22100—17:07
23L. RaymondL000010.15010—16:48
2O. MaattaD000000.00010—16:35
41S. GostisbehereD000020.06000—16:26
90J. VelenoC000010.032005615:46
14R. FabbriC000-100.00000015:11
18A. CoppC000-210.101103314:06
3J. HollD000020.01210—13:34
17D. SprongR000-100.00000—12:44
36C. FischerR000-200.15100—12:10
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(L)33294.8792.89-1.1160:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).