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Red Wings at Hurricanes
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
FinalTV BSDET, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrei Svechnikov's goal at 10:46 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 59% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.1 to 0.9; shots on goal were DET 12, CAR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.1 goals below expected; Antti Raanta stopped 10 of 12 (.833), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Martin Necas (1 G, 1 A), 2. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Michael Bunting (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    M. Necas1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    M. Bunting2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET131504212
CARCAR1818214430

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    K. Kostin(3)
    J. Veleno (10), D. Sprong (18)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:27
  2. CAR
    J. Martinook(6)
    B. Burns (18), J. Staal (9)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:14

2nd period

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(10)
    M. Bunting (19), D. Orlov (14)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:25
  2. DET
    J. Compher(10)PPG
    D. Larkin (22), S. Gostisbehere (24)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:17

3rd period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(11)PPG
    M. Bunting (20), S. Aho (34)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-3
    10:46
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(16)EN
    M. Necas (18), A. Svechnikov (19)
    wristxG 0.69win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:44

Penalties

DET 2 PIM·CAR 2 PIM

2nd

  • 18:57CARJaccob Slavin · Holdingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min

3rd

  • 10:15DETJeff Petry · Trippingdrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalDET goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Andrei Svechnikov, 3rd 10:46 — CAR 59% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.69M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.46A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.33J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.17J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.13J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.11M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.10M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.08M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.08J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.08D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.06M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.06J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.05J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.04S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.04S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 3.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCAR
0.92 G
All situations
3 G3.1
0.71 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET27%73%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 0.90 – 1.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCAR
12
Shots on goal
30
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/1
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
13
Hits
11
17
Blocked shots
10
10
Giveaways
27
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000-120.02030—23:23
2O. MaattaD000-100.00130—22:25
41S. GostisbehereD011-200.00010—22:19
96J. WalmanD000-110.00110—20:40
93A. DeBrincatR000010.01000—17:53
37J. CompherL101-110.160103917:37
71D. LarkinC011-220.021005016:57
46J. PetryD000+110.12122—16:57
57D. PerronL000-200.00100—15:50
18A. CoppC000000.040105015:46
27M. RasmussenC000-100.00010015:05
23L. RaymondL000-200.00000—15:01
17D. SprongR011+100.04010—15:00
14R. FabbriC000-110.19300014:39
36C. FischerR000010.09210—14:32
8B. ChiarotD000+110.08020—13:42
24K. KostinC101010.13100011:02
90J. VelenoC011000.002004311:02
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(L)29263.8971.95-1.0559:39

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).