Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Chicago Blackhawks beat the Calgary Flames 3-1. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Dickinson's goal at 15:15 of the first period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals were close — CGY 2.6, CHI 2.4; shots on goal were CGY 39, CHI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.6 goals below expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jason Dickinson (2 G), 2. Landon Slaggert (2 A), 3. Petr Mrazek (38 saves, .974).
Three stars
- ★J. Dickinson2 G

- ★★L. Slaggert2 A

- ★★★P. Mrazek38 saves, .974

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
0-13:35
0-215:15
3rd period
0-34:15
1-312:25
Penalties
1st
- 0:47
Daniil Miromanov · Slashingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
- 1:50
Mikael Backlund · Hookingdrawn by Connor Bedard2 min
2nd
- 9:49
Jason Dickinson · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min
- 13:02
Kevin Korchinski · Hookingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jason Dickinson, 1st 15:15 — 67% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.61 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.4
- 1.31 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.4
- 1.20 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 2.39
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 39
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 62%
- Faceoffs
- 38%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 19
- Hits
- 19
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 2
- Giveaways
- 5
- 5
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






