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Flames at Blackhawks
NHL

Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
3
Chicago Blackhawks
▸4
FinalTV NBCSCH, SN·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Calgary Flames 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Blackhawks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Zaitsev's goal at 14:49 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals were close — CGY 2.1, CHI 1.9; shots on goal were CGY 30, CHI 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 2.6 goals below expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Colin Blackwell (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jarred Tinordi (2 A), 3. Nikita Zaitsev (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    C. Blackwell2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    J. Tinordi2 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    N. Zaitsev1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY16114110330
CHICHI1521213420

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    C. Blackwell(2)
    J. Tinordi (5), C. Murphy (6)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:32
  2. CGY
    N. Kadri(12)
    N. Hanifin (13), M. Pospisil (5)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:12

2nd period

  1. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(8)PPG
    J. Huberdeau (13), M. Weegar (15)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:26
  2. CHI
    P. Kurashev(8)
    J. Dickinson (7), A. Vlasic (9)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:09
  3. CHI
    N. Zaitsev(2)
    C. Blackwell (2), J. Tinordi (6)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-3
    14:49

3rd period

  1. CHI
    C. Blackwell(3)PPG
    Z. Sanford (3), N. Zaitsev (5)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-4
    14:37
  2. CGY
    N. Kadri(13)
    J. Huberdeau (14), R. Andersson (16)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-4
    15:19

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·CHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:35CHINikita Zaitsev · Hookingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 16:58CGYChris Tanev · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min

2nd

  • 2:47CHIBrett Seney · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 8:42CGYMartin Pospisil · Trippingdrawn by Reese Johnson2 min

3rd

  • 9:50CHIBoris Katchouk · Slashingdrawn by Walker Duehr2 min
  • 12:50CGYRasmus Andersson · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCGY goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Nikita Zaitsev, 2nd 14:49 — CHI 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.51R. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.15C. Guttman · On goal · xG 0.14C. Blackwell · Goal · xG 0.10C. Guttman · On goal · xG 0.10C. Guttman · Missed · xG 0.09C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.08C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.08C. Blackwell · Goal · xG 0.07L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.07L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kurashev · Goal · xG 0.06R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.05K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.04J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.04K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.03C. Guttman · On goal · xG 0.03B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Entwistle · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · Goal · xG 0.02C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.01R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01J. Tinordi · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.01M. Entwistle · On goal · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI4 G · 1.9 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsCHI
2.13 G
All situations
4 G1.9
1.42 G
Even strength
3 G1.1
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY66%34%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 1.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsCHI
30
Shots on goal
20
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
18
Hits
22
15
Blocked shots
22
6
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD011010.05022—26:35
52M. WeegarD011030.14520—23:16
55N. HanifinD011+120.03020—23:02
11M. BacklundC000050.232105922:00
20B. ColemanL000010.021005021:54
28E. LindholmC000-220.312206121:14
88A. MangiapaneL101020.20000—19:34
8C. TanevD000+110.05022—19:03
17Y. SharangovichC000-220.34000018:25
91N. KadriC202+250.371105518:00
10J. HuberdeauL022-100.09110—17:39
47C. ZaryC000+220.09000014:24
82J. OesterleD000-220.04100—12:11
57N. DeSimoneD000-200.01010—11:12
76M. PospisilC011+110.14102010:52
29D. DubeC000-100.001006707:12
71W. DuehrR000-110.01110—05:10
18A. GreerL000-100.00200—04:45
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(L)20164.8001.35-2.6557:45

Season series

CHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).