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Sharks at Predators
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
2
Nashville Predators
▸8
FinalTV NBCSCA, BSSO·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the San Jose Sharks 8-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Predators led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael McCarron's goal at 15:26 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 5.6 to 0.9; shots on goal were SJS 20, NSH 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 98% of the time. Magnus Chrona stopped 32 of 40 (.800), 2.4 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Michael McCarron (2 G), 2. Roman Josi (1 G, 2 A), 3. Filip Forsberg (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    M. McCarron2 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Josi1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS181903220
NSHNSH11739414840

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    R. Josi(18)
    R. McDonagh (23), F. Forsberg (37)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:18
  2. SJS
    M. Granlund(10)
    K. Kostin (4), M. Ferraro (16)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:18

2nd period

  1. SJS
    M. Ferraro(2)
    T. Bordeleau (2), J. Bailey (8)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    5:46
  2. NSH
    J. Zucker(11)
    C. Sissons (19), R. McDonagh (24)
    wristxG 0.82win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    9:37
  3. NSH
    M. McCarron(10)
    K. Sherwood (11), R. Josi (51)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:26
  4. NSH
    L. Evangelista(15)
    R. Josi (52), F. Forsberg (38)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    17:50

3rd period

  1. NSH
    M. McCarron(11)
    K. Sherwood (12)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    10:35
  2. NSH
    M. Jankowski(4)
    T. Barrie (12), A. Beauvillier (11)
    deflectedxG 0.07Video
    2-6
    14:13
  3. NSH
    F. Forsberg(36)
    G. Nyquist (42), R. McDonagh (25)
    wristxG 0.48Video
    2-7
    14:43
  4. NSH
    T. Novak(15)
    K. Sherwood (13), M. Jankowski (6)
    backhandxG 0.26
    2-8
    16:16

Penalties

SJS 4 PIM·NSH 2 PIM

1st

  • 6:45SJSKlim Kostin · Cross checkingdrawn by Marc Del Gaizo2 min

2nd

  • 6:08NSHJason Zucker · High stickingdrawn by Calen Addison2 min

3rd

  • 4:17SJSMario Ferraro · High stickingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalSJS goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Michael McCarron, 2nd 15:26 — NSH 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.82J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.77F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.48T. Novak · Goal · xG 0.26A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.24M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.20C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.17F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.15R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.14J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.14T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.14K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.12M. McCarron · Goal · xG 0.12K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.12M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.10M. McCarron · Goal · xG 0.10L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.07R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.07M. Jankowski · Goal · xG 0.07C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.07M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.07L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.05J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.05L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.05R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.05R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.05R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.04G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.04L. Evangelista · Goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03M. Del Gaizo · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.03M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.03J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Del Gaizo · On goal · xG 0.02M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Del Gaizo · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH8 G · 5.6 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsNSH
0.92 G
All situations
8 G5.6
0.92 G
Even strength
8 G5.0
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS2%98%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 0.90 – 5.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsNSH
20
Shots on goal
40
33%
Faceoffs
67%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
28
Hits
17
12
Blocked shots
21
5
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4K. BurroughsD000+210.00410—22:10
38M. FerraroD112+220.04002—21:59
3H. ThrunD000-600.00000—21:17
84J. RuttaD000-520.03010—20:12
20F. ZetterlundL000-300.03310—19:14
64M. GranlundC101-320.141002318:48
18F. ZadinaR000-110.01300—17:57
72W. EklundL000-100.000102517:28
7N. SturmC000-230.302203817:13
11L. KuninC000-110.01200016:33
44M. VlasicD000-310.02110—16:22
33C. AddisonD000-220.03010—16:16
17T. BordeleauC011-110.010105015:24
10K. KostinC011-210.06412014:02
90J. BaileyR011-300.02210—13:42
9J. MacDonaldD000020.1400010009:55
22R. CarpenterC000000.001005008:51
54G. SmithR000-110.05510—08:37
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Chrona(L)40328.8005.56-2.4460:00

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).