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Nashville Predators at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, BSSO·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the San Jose Sharks 4-2. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kiefer Sherwood's goal at 3:40 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 74% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 4.2 to 2.1; shots on goal were NSH 35, SJS 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Kiefer Sherwood (2 G), 2. Mikael Granlund (1 G), 3. Juuse Saros (23 saves, .920).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    K. Sherwood2 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    M. Granlund1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    J. Saros23 saves, .920

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH18115212435
SJSSJS0805212225

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:14

2nd period

  1. NSH
    T. Novak (18), G. Nyquist (31)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    18:27

3rd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:10
  2. NSH
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    3:40
  3. SJS
    wristxG 0.28win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-2
    9:34
  4. NSH
    wristxG 0.68win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:48

Penalties

NSH 4 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:53NSHJeremy Lauzon · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 17:40NSHDante Fabbro · High stickingdrawn by Filip Zadina2 min

2nd

  • 2:05SJSKyle Burroughs · Hookingdrawn by Mark Jankowski2 min
  • 12:52SJSTy Emberson · Holdingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 17:10SJSHenry Thrun · Trippingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalNSH goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Kiefer Sherwood, 3rd 3:40 — NSH 74% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Zadina · Goal · xG 0.28A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.22M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.17F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.15R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.14N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.12A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.12A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.11F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.09A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.06F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.06M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.05N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.05F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.05F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.04J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.03M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.03N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.02W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.02M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.02A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.02K. Burroughs · On goal · xG 0.01C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.01F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.01F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.00H. Thrun · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 2.1 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsSJS
4.23 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.52 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH66%34%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.04 – 2.13

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsSJS
35
Shots on goal
25
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
18
12
Blocked shots
17
4
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011+150.66010—24:08
27R. McDonaghD000+110.06110—23:22
45A. CarrierD011010.03030—19:25
9F. ForsbergL112030.26100—18:31
3J. LauzonD000-140.09412—17:30
90R. O'ReillyC000-110.190005317:14
14G. NyquistR112030.72010—17:10
77L. EvangelistaR000010.20000—16:48
10C. SissonsC000020.140004216:17
57D. FabbroD000+110.03012—15:46
47M. McCarronC011+220.150106215:40
2L. SchennD000030.05310—15:26
82T. NovakC011010.320105515:12
36C. SmithR000+120.81300—14:29
13Y. TreninC000010.02100013:25
8C. GlassC000-120.190005013:13
17M. JankowskiL000000.1400010011:36
44K. SherwoodL202+220.19110—11:15
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)25232.9202.14+0.1459:33

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).