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Sabres at Red Wings
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
1
Detroit Red Wings
▸4
FinalTV NHLN, BSDET·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Buffalo Sabres 4-1. The Sabres scored first; the Red Wings answered. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrick Kane's goal at 17:40 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.2 to 2.6; shots on goal were BUF 26, DET 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.7 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Patrick Kane (1 G), 2. Christian Fischer (1 G), 3. Daniel Sprong (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    P. Kane1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    C. Fischer1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    D. Sprong1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF1100808126
DETDET0821226426

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    T. Thompson(20)PPG
    R. Dahlin (35), A. Tuch (24)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    11:22

2nd period

  1. DET
    C. Fischer(3)
    A. Copp (19), M. Seider (28)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:35
  2. DET
    P. Kane(14)
    J. Compher (22), S. Gostisbehere (34)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +22 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:40

3rd period

  1. DET
    D. Sprong(17)
    R. Fabbri (12)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-3
    13:52
  2. DET
    L. Raymond(20)EN
    M. Rasmussen (16), A. Copp (20)
    snapxG 0.91win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    18:53

Penalties

BUF 4 PIM·DET 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:09BUFEric Robinson · Hookingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 11:06DETPatrick Kane · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min

2nd

  • 0:55DETMichael Rasmussen · Interferencedrawn by Tage Thompson2 min
  • 10:01BUFRasmus Dahlin · Roughingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalBUF goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Patrick Kane, 2nd 17:40 — DET 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Raymond · Goal · xG 0.91J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.27C. Fischer · Goal · xG 0.16D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.15J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.14P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.13S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.11C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.11J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.10A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.10A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.10P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.09D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.09D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.05D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.05J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.05P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.05P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.04J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.04A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.02R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.02J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.02A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.02D. Sprong · Goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.00J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.00
DET4 G · 3.2 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsDET
2.61 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.40 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
1.11 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF55%45%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 2.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsDET
26
Shots on goal
26
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
31
Hits
30
13
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
4
5
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4B. ByramD000-300.22200—26:10
26R. DahlinD011-430.11402—25:03
25O. PowerD000-120.05100—23:21
24D. CozensC000-110.545006321:22
10H. JokiharjuD000010.03120—21:08
12J. GreenwayL000-150.36510—21:01
89A. TuchR011-200.00020—20:15
72T. ThompsonC101-220.250204320:00
9Z. BensonL000010.07000—15:35
75C. CliftonD000020.11220—14:45
53J. SkinnerL000-110.160006713:43
28Z. GirgensonsC000-100.00710013:17
71V. OlofssonL000-120.13000—11:47
19P. KrebsC000-110.051101411:21
77J. PeterkaR000-110.17000—11:12
50E. RobinsonL000-110.19202—10:18
78J. BrysonD000000.00010—09:22
17T. JostC000-130.121104409:07
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(L)25223.8802.31-0.6957:13

Season series

DET leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).