Skip to content
Red Wings at Sabres
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
3
Buffalo Sabres
▸7
FinalTV BSDET, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Detroit Red Wings 7-3. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 7-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Benson's goal at 13:00 of the first period, which took the Sabres' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals were close — DET 2.8, BUF 3.0; shots on goal were DET 24, BUF 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. James Reimer stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.2 goals below expected; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 21 of 24 (.875). Three stars: 1. Bowen Byram (2 G), 2. Zach Benson (1 G, 2 A), 3. Tage Thompson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    B. Byram2 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    Z. Benson1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    T. Thompson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET1711215324
BUFBUF413314012739

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    A. Tuch(18)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:07
  2. BUF
    B. Byram(10)
    Z. Benson (13), J. Greenway (13)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:09
  3. DET
    B. Chiarot(5)
    L. Raymond (35), J. Berggren (4)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:37
  4. BUF
    Z. Benson(7)
    J. Greenway (14), R. Dahlin (33)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-3
    13:00
  5. BUF
    J. Skinner(21)
    Z. Benson (14), D. Cozens (25)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-4
    15:29

2nd period

  1. BUF
    C. Clifton(2)
    T. Thompson (18)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-5
    4:27
  2. BUF
    B. Byram(11)
    T. Thompson (19), Z. Girgensons (3)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-6
    9:05
  3. DET
    L. Raymond(18)PPG
    R. Fabbri (11), P. Kane (19)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-6
    9:29
  4. BUF
    J. Peterka(21)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-7
    13:49

3rd period

  1. DET
    J. Walman(12)
    S. Gostisbehere (32), O. Maatta (13)
    slapxG 0.08Video
    3-7
    17:32

Penalties

DET 8 PIM·BUF 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:05DETDavid Perron · Trippingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min

2nd

  • 4:47DETChristian Fischer · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen2 min
  • 9:20BUFTyson Jost · Interferencedrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 11:08BUFJeff Skinner · Slashingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 15:57BUFZemgus Girgensons · Cross checkingdrawn by Jonatan Berggren2 min

3rd

  • 5:55DETRobby Fabbri · Trippingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 7:44DETBen Chiarot · Interferencedrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min
  • 10:33BUFJacob Bryson · Cross checkingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalDET goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Benson, 1st 13:00 — BUF 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Byram · Goal · xG 0.21A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.20J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.17J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.12A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.11D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.11R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Benson · Goal · xG 0.10O. Power · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.09D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.09J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.09D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.09R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.08D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.08J. Skinner · Goal · xG 0.07A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.07B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.06J. Peterka · Goal · xG 0.06A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.06D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.06J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.05B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.05D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.04J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.04J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.04B. Byram · Goal · xG 0.04T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.04A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.03C. Clifton · Goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.03H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.03T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bryson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.02T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.02V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bryson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.01
BUF7 G · 3.0 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsBUF
2.83 G
All situations
7 G3.0
2.22 G
Even strength
7 G2.1
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET46%54%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.74 – 3.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsBUF
24
Shots on goal
39
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
42
Hits
22
17
Blocked shots
9
3
Giveaways
2
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000-200.02520—21:28
96J. WalmanD101-130.11110—21:21
37J. CompherL000-120.150204721:07
88P. KaneR011+130.05100—19:30
8B. ChiarotD101-410.12222—18:35
18A. CoppC000000.000006118:17
46J. PetryD000-400.00110—17:41
93A. DeBrincatR000020.68310—17:37
2O. MaattaD011010.01410—17:37
41S. GostisbehereD011+100.00010—17:37
23L. RaymondL112-230.6831010017:29
27M. RasmussenC000-120.3062010017:07
48J. BerggrenR011-220.17110—16:30
57D. PerronL000000.01602—14:15
36C. FischerR000-300.004122011:26
14R. FabbriC011-230.323027511:24
17D. SprongR000-410.19200—07:41
90J. VelenoC000-110.020102505:18
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer26233.8851.81-1.1944:31
34A. Lyon(L)1394.6921.21-2.7915:29

Season series

DET leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).