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Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV ABC, ESPN+·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 4-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesperi Kotkaniemi's goal at 2:50 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.3 to 1.8; shots on goal were CAR 26, NJD 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 23 of 25 (.920); Nico Daws stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (1 G), 2. Nico Hischier (1 G, 1 A), 3. Pyotr Kochetkov (23 saves, .920).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi1 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    P. Kochetkov23 saves, .920

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR1100838426
NJDNJD0616113225

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(20)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:28

2nd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.13win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:27

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Fast (11), B. Pesce (9)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-1
    2:50
  2. CAR
    wristxG 0.94win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:49
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.13win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-2
    19:48
  4. CAR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.59win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:52

Penalties

CAR 12 PIM·NJD 10 PIM

1st

  • 10:45NJDKevin Bahl · Roughingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min

2nd

  • 1:37CARAndrei Svechnikov · Trippingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 3:18NJDErik Haula · Interferencedrawn by Brett Pesce2 min
  • 7:02CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Timo Meier2 min
  • 11:21NJDKurtis MacDermid · Interferencedrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 12:42NJDKevin Bahl · Slashingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 12:42CARserved by J. Kotkaniemi · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 15:40CARJesper Fast · Hookingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min

3rd

  • 4:25CARMartin Necas · Roughingdrawn by Simon Nemec2 min
  • 4:25NJDSimon Nemec · Roughingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 4:58CARSebastian Aho · High stickingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalCAR goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Jesperi Kotkaniemi, 3rd 2:50 — CAR 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.29J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.17N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.13T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.13T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.12J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.09N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.09N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.08N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.08J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.07E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.05J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.04D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.04J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.03L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.03L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.02E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.02O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.02T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.00B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 1.8 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNJD
3.32 G
All situations
2 G1.8
1.71 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR49%51%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.75 – 1.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNJD
26
Shots on goal
25
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
0/4
12
Penalty minutes
10
23
Hits
33
13
Blocked shots
10
2
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD000-220.02110—22:29
74J. SlavinD000-200.00120—21:29
20S. AhoC000+110.020125820:10
22B. PesceD011+310.02010—19:48
76B. SkjeiD011+310.01300—19:33
86T. TeravainenC123+120.70020017:43
24S. JarvisR000-100.13200—17:00
37A. SvechnikovR101+121.05504—16:33
7D. OrlovD000010.03410—16:33
88M. NecasC101040.20102016:29
48J. MartinookL000-110.02000—15:56
11J. StaalC000-100.031105715:49
5J. ChatfieldD000000.04310—14:56
23S. NoesenR011040.6123010014:03
92E. KuznetsovC000+120.170005613:00
18J. DruryC000030.150001711:46
71J. FastR011+100.01002—08:44
82J. KotkaniemiC101+120.12000008:06
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(W)25232.9201.85-0.1559:53

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).