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New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV BSSO, MSGSN2·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 3-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sebastian Aho's goal at 1:30 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 54% to 65%. Expected goals were close — NJD 2.5, CAR 2.3; shots on goal were NJD 25, CAR 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 11 of 11 (1.000), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Antti Raanta stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Antti Raanta (23 saves, .920), 2. Teuvo Teravainen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jordan Staal (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Raanta23 saves, .920
  2. ★★
    CAR
    T. Teravainen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD01005210225
CARCAR1921004323

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(17)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:30

2nd period

  1. CAR
    slapxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:54
  2. CAR
    B. Skjei (20), S. Jarvis (21)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    3:19

3rd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.20win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    5:25
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.11Video
    2-3
    19:57

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:44CARMartin Necas · Hookingdrawn by Colin Miller2 min

2nd

  • 2:51NJDOndrej Palat · Trippingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 3:19NJDserved by A. Holtz · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 0:48NJDLuke Hughes · Hookingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 6:14CARBrady Skjei · Trippingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min
  • 11:35NJDSimon Nemec · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 12:20CARTeuvo Teravainen · Slashingdrawn by Nathan Bastian2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNJD goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Sebastian Aho, 1st 1:30 — CAR 54% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.55J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.27S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.19J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.17S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.17T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.10J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.09B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.09T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.07J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.05M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.04J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.04B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.04M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.01S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.00B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 2.3 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCAR
2.52 G
All situations
3 G2.3
2.22 G
Even strength
2 G1.0
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD66%34%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.32 – 1.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCAR
25
Shots on goal
23
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
20
7
Blocked shots
14
13
Giveaways
14
11
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43L. HughesD011+110.04202—22:05
6J. MarinoD000010.03100—21:36
13N. HischierC000030.290106021:10
17S. NemecD000020.32002—20:20
63J. BrattL101010.11010—20:16
28T. MeierR000020.19000—19:57
88K. BahlD000-100.00400—19:32
91D. MercerC000-110.010002519:05
24C. MillerD000000.00100—18:09
56E. HaulaL000010.051005418:04
73T. ToffoliC000010.1130010016:48
18O. PalatL000-100.05012—14:21
82S. HatakkaD000010.01210—14:17
14N. BastianR000020.20210—13:36
42C. LazarC000030.35210010:41
10A. HoltzR011+120.13100—10:14
11C. TierneyC011+110.18000009:38
37J. DowlingC101+130.38010006:39
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41V. Vanecek111101.0000.73+0.7334:17
50N. Daws(L)1293.7500.79-2.2123:12

Season series

CAR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).