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Senators at Kings
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
3
Los Angeles Kings
▸4
Final/OTTV BSW, TSN5·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Ottawa Senators 4-3 in overtime, Kevin Fiala scoring at 2:00. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Senators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Fiala's goal at 2:00 of overtime, which took the Kings' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — OTT 2.4, LAK 2.4; shots on goal were OTT 31, LAK 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.6 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Fiala (1 G), 2. Anze Kopitar (2 A), 3. Jacob Moverare (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    K. Fiala1 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar2 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    J. Moverare1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT1101111901331
LAKLAK01011021213435

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    D. Kubalik(10)PPG
    J. Sanderson (21), T. Stützle (43)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:33

2nd period

  1. LAK
    Q. Byfield(19)
    B. Lizotte (5), V. Gavrikov (13)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:24
  2. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(27)
    S. Pinto (11), D. Batherson (25)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:39

3rd period

  1. LAK
    P. Dubois(14)
    A. Kopitar (34), M. Roy (16)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +33 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:24
  2. LAK
    J. Moverare(1)
    D. Doughty (25), A. Kopitar (35)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +33 ptsVideo
    2-3
    11:46
  3. OTT
    D. Batherson(22)
    A. Zub (19), S. Pinto (12)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +38 ptsVideo
    3-3
    15:37

Overtime

  1. LAK
    K. Fiala(20)
    M. Roy (17)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    2:00

Penalties

OTT 2 PIM·LAK 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:06LAKAndreas Englund · Interferencedrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 18:57LAKBrandt Clarke · Interferencedrawn by Drake Batherson2 min

2nd

  • 15:19LAKVladislav Gavrikov · Trippingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min

3rd

  • 2:42LAKAndreas Englund · High stickingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 16:33OTTParker Kelly · Illegal check to headdrawn by Andreas Englund2 min
  • 16:33LAKAndreas Englund · Roughingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalOTT goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Kevin Fiala, OT 2:00 — LAK 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.32K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.20P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.15Q. Byfield · Goal · xG 0.14P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.11A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.09A. Turcotte · Missed · xG 0.09B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.08A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.08Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.07P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.07P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.07P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.07T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.05J. Moverare · Goal · xG 0.05T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.05P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.05A. Turcotte · On goal · xG 0.04M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.04T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.03T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.03V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.03D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03A. Turcotte · On goal · xG 0.02T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moverare · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.01K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.01T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.01A. Englund · Missed · xG 0.01T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01A. Englund · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.01Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.00B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK4 G · 2.4 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsLAK
2.43 G
All situations
4 G2.4
1.82 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT52%48%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 2.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsLAK
31
Shots on goal
35
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
0/0
2
Penalty minutes
10
17
Hits
31
19
Blocked shots
23
5
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2A. ZubD011+130.14120—25:42
85J. SandersonD011+220.10020—24:57
6J. ChychrunD000-220.01050—23:54
18T. StützleC011-320.412207522:48
7B. TkachukL101+250.293102720:59
26E. BrannstromD000-120.04120—20:37
57S. PintoC022+230.420005720:31
19D. BathersonR112+230.37310—18:09
28C. GirouxR000-310.100005018:03
21M. JosephR000-210.01010—17:42
71R. GreigC000-110.17100013:30
24J. Bernard-DockerD000-120.06100—13:06
27P. KellyC000-100.00022012:48
50M. GuenetteD000-200.00010—12:18
81D. KubalikL101010.09000—12:06
49R. ChartierC000-110.112006011:24
13J. SmejkalL000020.1220010008:06
12M. KastelicC000000.001003307:20
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(O)35314.8862.36-1.6462:00

Season series

LAK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).