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Los Angeles Kings at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV BSW, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carl Grundstrom's goal at 5:00 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 4.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were LAK 38, OTT 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Joonas Korpisalo stopped 35 of 38 (.921), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Adrian Kempe (2 A), 2. Anze Kopitar (1 G), 3. Jacob Bernard-Docker (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kempe2 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    J. Bernard-Docker1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK114212012338
OTTOTT0131518226

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    backhandxG 0.35win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:11

2nd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:00
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.44win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    8:55
  3. OTT
    snapxG 0.13win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:39

3rd period

  1. OTT
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:09

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·OTT 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:34OTTDrake Batherson · Interferencedrawn by Alex Laferriere2 min
  • 11:34LAKAnze Kopitar · Holdingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 19:44LAKQuinton Byfield · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 11:25OTTJosh Norris · High stickingdrawn by Alex Laferriere2 min
  • 18:08LAKDrew Doughty · Interferencedrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

3rd

  • 5:30OTTTravis Hamonic · Roughingdrawn by Andreas Englund2 min
  • 15:50OTTTravis Hamonic · High stickingdrawn by Alex Laferriere2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalLAK goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Carl Grundstrom, 2nd 5:00 — LAK 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.19B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.17J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.17D. Kubalik · Goal · xG 0.13J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.13J. Norris · Goal · xG 0.13T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.12V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.11J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.10J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.09D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.08D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.07C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.07J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.05D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.05R. Chartier · Missed · xG 0.04D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bernard-Docker · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02N. Matinpalo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.00T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 2.1 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsOTT
4.03 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.62 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
1.31 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK78%22%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.88 – 2.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsOTT
38
Shots on goal
26
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
25
Hits
28
12
Blocked shots
21
12
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000010.06202—26:09
44M. AndersonD000010.04120—21:50
11A. KopitarC101+230.522124420:15
9A. KempeR022+170.60210—20:14
84V. GavrikovD000-120.02110—18:54
3M. RoyD000-110.00120—18:30
22K. FialaL000030.52200—18:08
80P. DuboisC000-110.144005017:06
55Q. ByfieldR011000.27002—15:16
12T. MooreL011020.12000—14:21
21J. SpenceD000+200.00100—14:19
24P. DanaultC101040.761104213:48
46B. LizotteC000010.111002912:55
34A. KaliyevR000040.22010—12:51
5A. EnglundD011+200.00310—12:45
61T. LewisC000010.031103312:40
78A. LaferriereR000030.16010—12:29
91C. GrundstromR101+140.40300—11:59
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(W)26242.9232.09+0.0960:00

Season series

LAK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).