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Senators at Flyers
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Philadelphia Flyers
▸4
FinalTV NBCSP, SN1·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Ottawa Senators 4-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyson Foerster's goal at 19:13 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were OTT 26, PHI 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Mads Sogaard stopped 36 of 39 (.923); Felix Sandstrom stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Tyson Foerster (2 G), 2. Nick Seeler (1 A), 3. Felix Sandstrom (24 saves, .923).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Foerster2 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    N. Seeler1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    F. Sandstrom24 saves, .923

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT0411418226
PHIPHI11921714440

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    J. Farabee(18)
    N. Seeler (11)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    1:08

2nd period

  1. OTT
    V. Tarasenko(17)
    S. Pinto (10), M. Joseph (20)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:04
  2. PHI
    T. Foerster(15)
    S. Laughton (22)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +23 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:13
  3. PHI
    T. Foerster(16)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.34win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:58

3rd period

  1. OTT
    T. Chabot(6)
    D. Kubalik (4), C. Giroux (35)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +6 ptsVideo
    2-3
    18:02
  2. PHI
    C. York(9)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.47win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    19:59

Penalties

OTT 10 PIM·PHI 12 PIM

1st

  • 3:49OTTJakob Chychrun · Interferencedrawn by Tyson Foerster2 min
  • 8:05OTTRidly Greig · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Felix Sandstrom2 min
  • 11:07OTTArtem Zub · Trippingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min

2nd

  • 11:29PHITyson Foerster · Hookingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
  • 16:53OTTMathieu Joseph · Slashingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 16:53PHITravis Sanheim · Slashingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 19:58OTTShane Pinto · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Tyson Foerster0 min

3rd

  • 4:10PHICam York · High sticking double minordrawn by Jakob Chychrun4 min
  • 10:26PHIScott Laughton · High stickingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 14:37OTTMaxence Guenette · Interferencedrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 16:01PHIJoel Farabee · Slashingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalOTT goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Tyson Foerster, 2nd 19:13 — PHI 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. York · Goal · xG 0.47T. Foerster · Goal · xG 0.34O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.20M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.14G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.11S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.11O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.11O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.10N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.10S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.10J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.09N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.09T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.08G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.08R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.07T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.07M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.07J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.07N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.06R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.05T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.05G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.05N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.04B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.04T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.04R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.04S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.03B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.03E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.03T. Foerster · Goal · xG 0.03N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.01T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.01R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.00M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.00S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.00C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.00
PHI4 G · 3.0 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsPHI
2.52 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.12 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
1.40 G
Power play
0 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT48%52%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsPHI
26
Shots on goal
40
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/5
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
12
25
Hits
27
13
Blocked shots
28
7
Giveaways
4
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD101-220.22010—26:02
18T. StützleC000-100.00200025:03
6J. ChychrunD000+150.54122—23:31
28C. GirouxR011-100.030005723:29
85J. SandersonD000010.13100—22:19
19D. BathersonR000-130.1711010020:11
2A. ZubD000040.05422—19:03
91V. TarasenkoR101+140.3520010018:34
57S. PintoC011+120.172105417:09
21M. JosephR011+100.084025016:43
71R. GreigC000-100.002026314:27
81D. KubalikL011+110.41100—13:32
24J. Bernard-DockerD000-200.03230—13:27
50M. GuenetteD000+100.00202—11:38
26E. BrannstromD000-110.02010—09:28
27P. KellyC000-210.00010009:17
12M. KastelicC000020.281007505:58
17Z. MacEwenR000000.00010—02:18
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40M. Sogaard(L)39363.9232.57-0.4357:51

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).