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Flyers at Senators
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
2
Ottawa Senators
▸5
FinalTV NBCSP, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Sanderson's goal at 16:12 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 74% to 89%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.5, OTT 2.6; shots on goal were PHI 21, OTT 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.4 goals below expected; Anton Forsberg stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Jakob Chychrun (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brady Tkachuk (2 G), 3. Jake Sanderson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    J. Chychrun2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk2 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    J. Sanderson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI1514012221
OTTOTT21321216531

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    J. Chychrun(1)
    Z. MacEwen (1), R. Greig (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:36
  2. OTT
    J. Chychrun(2)PPG
    V. Tarasenko (1), J. Sanderson (1)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:47
  3. PHI
    T. Konecny(3)PPG
    T. Foerster (1), T. Sanheim (2)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:51

2nd period

  1. OTT
    J. Sanderson(1)PPG
    V. Tarasenko (2), J. Chychrun (1)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    16:12
  2. PHI
    C. York(1)
    T. Konecny (1), S. Walker (1)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-3
    16:30
  3. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(1)
    C. Giroux (1)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-4
    19:54

3rd period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(2)PPG
    C. Giroux (2), T. Stützle (1)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +6 ptsVideo
    2-5
    1:32

Penalties

PHI 19 PIM·OTT 21 PIM

1st

  • 9:00PHISean Couturier · Boardingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min
  • 11:14PHINick Seeler · Trippingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
  • 15:16OTTDrake Batherson · Hookingdrawn by Cam York2 min
  • 15:35OTTClaude Giroux · Holding the stickdrawn by Cam York2 min
  • 19:49OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 19:49PHITravis Sanheim · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 19:56OTTTim Stützle · Cross checkingdrawn by Sean Walker2 min

2nd

  • 14:51OTTMark Kastelic · Fightingdrawn by Nick Seeler5 min
  • 14:51PHINick Seeler · Fightingdrawn by Mark Kastelic5 min
  • 15:41PHITyson Foerster · Slashingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 20:00PHINicolas Deslauriers · Roughingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min
  • 20:00OTTJakob Chychrun · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

3rd

  • 0:10PHITravis Sanheim · Interferencedrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
  • 4:12OTTClaude Giroux · Interferencedrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 11:09OTTArtem Zub · High stickingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 14:21OTTArtem Zub · Holdingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min
  • 17:27PHIGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalPHI goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Jake Sanderson, 2nd 16:12 — OTT 74% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.19D. Kubalik · Missed · xG 0.18B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.18B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.15C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.14B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.13T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.10C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.09J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.09T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.09T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.08J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.08T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.08Z. MacEwen · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.07D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.07R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.07R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.05T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05R. Chartier · On goal · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.05R. Chartier · On goal · xG 0.04T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · Goal · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.03D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.01P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.01R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.01M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.00C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT5 G · 2.6 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsOTT
2.52 G
All situations
5 G2.6
1.21 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
1.01 G
Power play
3 G1.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI48%52%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsOTT
21
Shots on goal
31
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/6
Power play
3/5
19
Penalty minutes
21
23
Hits
21
8
Blocked shots
18
9
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD011-110.05014—23:58
8C. YorkD101040.18210—21:11
14S. CouturierC000010.192025020:00
26S. WalkerD011+100.00420—18:49
89C. AtkinsonR000020.28100—16:57
74O. TippettR000010.1211010016:33
11T. KonecnyR112-120.55100—16:29
36E. AndraeD000-100.00210—16:27
71T. FoersterR011020.34002—16:13
18M. StaalD000010.01200—16:01
86J. FarabeeL000010.15000—15:14
48M. FrostC000010.260002515:12
27N. CatesL000-100.000201413:54
21S. LaughtonC000-110.121004313:38
25R. PoehlingC000010.011005013:08
19G. HathawayR000010.00002—12:32
24N. SeelerD000-100.00207—12:11
44N. DeslauriersL000020.21402—10:56
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(L)31265.8392.57-2.4358:57

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).