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Stars at Senators
NHL

Dallas Stars at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
1
Ottawa Senators
▸4
FinalTV BSSW, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Dallas Stars 4-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Norris's goal at 5:37 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.1 to 1.4; shots on goal were DAL 15, OTT 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Anton Forsberg stopped 14 of 15 (.933). Three stars: 1. Josh Norris (2 G), 2. Drake Batherson (2 A), 3. Shane Pinto (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    J. Norris2 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    D. Batherson2 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    S. Pinto1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL160405115
OTTOTT1831309430

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    J. Norris(14)
    D. Batherson (23), J. Sanderson (19)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:12
  2. DAL
    J. Pavelski(20)
    J. Benn (24), M. Heiskanen (28)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:50

2nd period

  1. OTT
    J. Norris(15)
    D. Batherson (24), R. Greig (12)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:37
  2. OTT
    T. Chabot(4)
    T. Stützle (39), M. Joseph (18)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    8:56
  3. OTT
    S. Pinto(4)PPG
    C. Giroux (33), B. Tkachuk (21)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-4
    19:43

Penalties

DAL 10 PIM·OTT 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:48OTTThomas Chabot · Trippingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 15:48DALRadek Faksa · Hookingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

2nd

  • 19:27DALJoel Hanley · Holding the stickdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

3rd

  • 4:07DALJoe Pavelski · Hookingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min
  • 11:40DALMatt Duchene · Cross checkingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 20:00OTTJakob Chychrun · Slashingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 20:00DALMason Marchment · Slashingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalDAL goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Norris, 2nd 5:37 — OTT 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.32J. Norris · Goal · xG 0.19C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.16J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.16S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.15D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13S. Pinto · Goal · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.11T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.11B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10J. Norris · Goal · xG 0.10R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.10J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.09J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.08M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.08C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.07C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.06T. Chabot · Goal · xG 0.06D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.05M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.05P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.02M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bernard-Docker · Missed · xG 0.02T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.02D. Kubalik · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.01C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.00J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT4 G · 3.1 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsOTT
1.41 G
All situations
4 G3.1
1.31 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL20%80%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.40 – 3.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsOTT
15
Shots on goal
30
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/1
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
32
9
Blocked shots
25
13
Giveaways
12
10
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55T. HarleyD000010.03200—23:06
4M. HeiskanenD011000.00100—23:03
23E. LindellD000-110.02140—21:09
20R. SuterD000-100.00320—19:59
24R. HintzC000000.130004318:01
16J. PavelskiC101010.28112016:53
27M. MarchmentL000000.09402—16:35
53W. JohnstonC000000.120005716:28
33D. PouliotD000-110.01110—15:55
95M. DucheneC000010.051023315:22
18S. SteelC000000.012003315:20
14J. BennL011020.142003815:06
44J. HanleyD000-100.01102—14:59
21J. RobertsonL000020.29100—14:40
91T. SeguinC000020.140005014:34
10T. DellandreaC000-200.044003312:02
12R. FaksaC000-230.0410210010:42
15C. SmithC000-210.01010009:50
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood19181.9471.59+0.5931:04
29J. Oettinger(L)1183.7271.53-1.4728:56

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).