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Los Angeles Kings at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV SN-PIT, BSW·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 2-1. The Penguins scored first; the Kings answered. The Penguins led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adrian Kempe's goal at 16:50 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 44% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were LAK 34, PIT 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Adrian Kempe (2 G), 2. Cam Talbot (29 saves, .967), 3. Sidney Crosby (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kempe2 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    C. Talbot29 saves, .967
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK011013210234
PITPIT11207011130

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(31)PPG
    E. Karlsson (31), B. Rust (17)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    18:43

3rd period

  1. LAK
    slapxG 0.03win prob +35 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:49
  2. LAK
    A. Kempe(19)SHG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +48 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:50

Penalties

LAK 10 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:32PITReilly Smith · Trippingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 12:26LAKPierre-Luc Dubois · Slashingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 18:38LAKPierre-Luc Dubois · Roughingdrawn by Colin White2 min

2nd

  • 1:39PITKris Letang · Holdingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
  • 9:04PITSidney Crosby · Hookingdrawn by Vladislav Gavrikov2 min
  • 12:44LAKAlex Laferriere · Trippingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min

3rd

  • 5:01LAKAlex Laferriere · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 14:57LAKTrevor Moore · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalLAK goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Adrian Kempe, 3rd 16:50 — LAK 44% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.21E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.19B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.15E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.13R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.12D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.11S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.10E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.10E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.08S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.08R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.07M. Phillips · On goal · xG 0.06C. White · Missed · xG 0.06L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.06L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.04L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.02S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.02D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.01C. White · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.00R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.00J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.00E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT1 G · 2.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsPIT
3.42 G
All situations
1 G2.1
1.91 G
Even strength
0 G0.9
0.90 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK67%33%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.98 – 2.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsPIT
34
Shots on goal
30
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
34
17
Blocked shots
16
7
Giveaways
6
13
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011+130.10110—25:19
44M. AndersonD000+110.01350—23:27
9A. KempeR202+250.34310—21:04
11A. KopitarC011+110.360004721:02
84V. GavrikovD000+110.02200—20:33
12T. MooreL000020.69202—20:31
3M. RoyD000+100.00010—20:18
24P. DanaultC000+140.561104318:56
22K. FialaL000050.46100—16:42
33V. ArvidssonL011+140.16020—16:04
55Q. ByfieldR000010.1110010015:14
80P. DuboisC000010.123142514:15
92B. ClarkeD000010.05110—13:25
78A. LaferriereR000030.28214—11:50
5A. EnglundD000000.02010—11:14
61T. LewisC000010.10020010:45
34A. KaliyevR000010.05100—06:32
38A. TurcotteC000000.000005004:52
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(W)30291.9672.10+1.1059:52

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).