Skip to content
Penguins at Kings
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
Los Angeles Kings
3
Final/OTTV SN-PIT, BSW·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-3 in overtime, Bryan Rust scoring at 3:45. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bryan Rust's goal at 3:45 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were PIT 20, LAK 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Magnus Hellberg stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Pheonix Copley stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Bryan Rust (1 G), 2. Adrian Kempe (1 G), 3. Kevin Fiala (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    B. Rust1 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kempe1 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    K. Fiala1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PITPIT17151711420
LAKLAK1111141902336

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(7)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:11
  2. LAK
    C. Grundstrom(5)SHG
    A. Kopitar (7), M. Roy (5)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:14

2nd period

  1. LAK
    A. Kempe(6)
    M. Anderson (7), Q. Byfield (10)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:58
  2. PIT
    L. Eller(2)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.18win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:03

3rd period

  1. PIT
    J. Guentzel(5)
    S. Crosby (7), E. Karlsson (8)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-2
    0:37
  2. LAK
    K. Fiala(2)
    P. Dubois (4), J. Spence (6)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-3
    6:40

Overtime

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(7)
    E. Malkin (7), E. Karlsson (9)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.14win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    3:45

Penalties

PIT 8 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:14LAKAdrian Kempe · Slashingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 12:14PITKris Letang · Roughingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 12:14LAKAdrian Kempe · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

2nd

  • 4:51PITRadim Zohorna · Hookingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min
  • 17:20PITKris Letang · Hookingdrawn by Trevor Moore2 min

3rd

  • 2:37PITSidney Crosby · Trippingdrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
  • 8:58LAKVladislav Gavrikov · Roughingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalPIT goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Bryan Rust, OT 3:45 — PIT 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.22K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.22C. Grundstrom · Goal · xG 0.22D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.16A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.14B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.14P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.13A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.13Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.10Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.10C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.10T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.09Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.09P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.08P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.07A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.07C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.07T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.07A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.06Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.06J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.05M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kaliyev · Missed · xG 0.05J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.04T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.04A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.03B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kaliyev · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.02A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.01P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.00M. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.00T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK3 G · 3.2 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsLAK
2.24 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.63 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.21 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT34%66%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.18 – 3.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsLAK
20
Shots on goal
36
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
21
16
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000000.03144—25:56
65E. KarlssonD022+110.22100—25:20
27R. GravesD000+110.01120—23:15
28M. PetterssonD000-200.00220—21:45
71E. MalkinC011+100.001005020:13
87S. CrosbyC112+130.373125919:47
17B. RustR101+150.45120—19:23
59J. GuentzelC101+150.60100018:46
19R. SmithR000010.1000010018:13
67R. RakellR000010.12500—17:05
55N. AcciariC000000.064204016:23
20L. EllerC101010.190103315:18
2C. RuhwedelD000+110.03110—13:43
83M. NietoL000000.00000—11:37
10D. O'ConnorL000-100.00110—11:25
5R. SheaD000000.00200—10:29
63R. ZohornaL000-110.01102—09:09
77J. CarterC000-100.001007507:28
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45M. Hellberg(W)36333.9173.18+0.1863:45

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).